Viendo archivo del miércoles, 7 febrero 2024
Informe actividad solar
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2024 Feb 07 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 38 Publicado el 2200Z a las 07 Feb 2024IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 06-2100Z hasta 07-2100Z Solar activity has been at high levels for the past 24 hours.
The largest solar event of the period was a M5 event observed at
07/0331Z from Region 3575 (S37W90). There are currently 10 numbered
sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is likely to be moderate
with a chance for X-class flares on day one (08 Feb) and expected to be
low with a chance for M-class flares and a slight chance for an X-class
flare on days two and three (09 Feb, 10 Feb).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 06-2100Z a 07-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed
reached a peak of 546 km/s at 07/0202Z. Total IMF reached 6 nT at
06/2110Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -4 nT at
07/0241Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached
a peak level of 116 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet levels on day one (08 Feb) and quiet to active levels on
days two and three (09 Feb, 10 Feb). Protons have a chance of crossing
threshold on day one (08 Feb) and have a slight chance of crossing
threshold on days two and three (09 Feb, 10 Feb).
III. Probabilidades del evento 08 Feb a 10 Feb
| Clase M | 60% | 45% | 45% |
| Clase X | 25% | 10% | 10% |
| Protón | 25% | 10% | 10% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 07 Feb 188 Previsto 08 Feb-10 Feb 180/175/170 Media de 90 Días 07 Feb 158
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 06 Feb 008/006 Estimado Afr/Ap 07 Feb 005/005 Previsto Afr/Ap 08 Feb-10 Feb 006/005-011/015-009/012
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 08 Feb a 10 Feb
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 30% | 35% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 10% | 15% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 20% | 20% | 25% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 20% | 20% | 50% |
All times in UTC
< < Ir a la visión general diaria
Últimas noticias
lunes, 19 enero 2026
CME impact! S4 solar radiation storm
domingo, 18 enero 2026
X1.9 solar flare with earth-directed CME
miércoles, 31 diciembre 2025
Happy New Year! Celebrate with an M7.1 solar flare!
Últimos mensajes del foro
Current Farside Activity 349Unspecified geomagnetic activity 63Filaments and prominences 478Broad-spectrum aurora pillars 15CH 17 1
Más temasApoye a SpaceWeatherLive.com!
A lot of people come to SpaceWeatherLive to follow the Solar activity or if there is a chance to see the aurora, but with more traffic comes higher costs to keep the servers online. If you like SpaceWeatherLive and want to support the project you can choose a subscription for an ad-free site or consider a donation. With your help we can keep SpaceWeatherLive online!
Hechos clima espacial
| Último evento clase X | 18/01/2026 | X1.9 |
| Último evento clase M | 21/01/2026 | M3.4 |
| Últimas tormentas geomagnéticas | 22/01/2026 | Kp5+ (G1) |
| Días sin manchas | |
|---|---|
| Último día sin manchas | 08/06/2022 |
| Promedio de manchas solares mensuales | |
|---|---|
| diciembre 2025 | 124 +32.2 |
| enero 2026 | 118.7 -5.3 |
| Last 30 days | 120.4 +5.6 |