Viendo archivo del lunes, 12 febrero 2024
Informe actividad solar
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2024 Feb 12 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 43 Publicado el 2200Z a las 12 Feb 2024IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 11-2100Z hasta 12-2100Z Solar activity has been at high levels for the past 24 hours.
The largest solar event of the period was a M6 event observed at
12/0348Z from Region 3576 (S17W37). There are currently 7 numbered
sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be moderate
with a chance for X-class flares on days one, two, and three (13 Feb, 14
Feb, 15 Feb).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 11-2100Z a 12-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed
reached a peak of 705 km/s at 12/0646Z. Total IMF reached 7 nT at
11/2340Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -5 nT at
11/2257Z. Protons greater than 10 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a
peak level of 81 pfu at 12/1550Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at
geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 159 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at unsettled to major storm levels on day one (13 Feb), unsettled
to minor storm levels on day two (14 Feb) and quiet levels on day three
(15 Feb). Protons are expected to cross threshold on day one (13 Feb),
have a chance of crossing threshold on day two (14 Feb) and have a
chance of crossing threshold on day three (15 Feb).
III. Probabilidades del evento 13 Feb a 15 Feb
| Clase M | 75% | 75% | 75% |
| Clase X | 25% | 25% | 25% |
| Protón | 99% | 50% | 25% |
| PCAF | red | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 12 Feb 208 Previsto 13 Feb-15 Feb 190/185/185 Media de 90 Días 12 Feb 161
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 11 Feb 012/009 Estimado Afr/Ap 12 Feb 007/011 Previsto Afr/Ap 13 Feb-15 Feb 028/040-017/024-007/008
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 13 Feb a 15 Feb
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 30% | 40% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 40% | 25% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 25% | 05% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 05% | 10% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 20% | 25% | 30% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 75% | 65% | 25% |
All times in UTC
< < Ir a la visión general diaria
Últimas noticias
miércoles, 31 diciembre 2025
Happy New Year! Celebrate with an M7.1 solar flare!
domingo, 7 diciembre 2025
M8.1 solar flare with earth-directed CME
lunes, 1 diciembre 2025
X1.9 solar flare, Coronal hole faces Earth
Últimos mensajes del foro
Coronal Hole 12/13 9Filaments and prominences 426AR 4336 16Ask your obscure/"stupid" space weather questions. 482AR 4334 14
Más temasApoye a SpaceWeatherLive.com!
A lot of people come to SpaceWeatherLive to follow the Solar activity or if there is a chance to see the aurora, but with more traffic comes higher costs to keep the servers online. If you like SpaceWeatherLive and want to support the project you can choose a subscription for an ad-free site or consider a donation. With your help we can keep SpaceWeatherLive online!
Hechos clima espacial
| Último evento clase X | 08/12/2025 | X1.1 |
| Último evento clase M | 31/12/2025 | M7.11 |
| Últimas tormentas geomagnéticas | 02/01/2026 | Kp5 (G1) |
| Días sin manchas | |
|---|---|
| Último día sin manchas | 08/06/2022 |
| Promedio de manchas solares mensuales | |
|---|---|
| diciembre 2025 | 124 +32.2 |
| enero 2026 | 111.2 -12.8 |
| Last 30 days | 106.5 -1.5 |