Viendo archivo del sábado, 24 febrero 2024
Informe actividad solar
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2024 Feb 24 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 55 Publicado el 2200Z a las 24 Feb 2024IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 23-2100Z hasta 24-2100Z Solar activity has been at moderate levels for the past 24
hours. The largest solar event of the period was a M4 event observed at
24/0634Z from Region 3590 (N18W01). There are currently 5 numbered
sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is likely to be moderate
with a chance for X-class flares on days one, two, and three (25 Feb, 26
Feb, 27 Feb).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 23-2100Z a 24-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet to unsettled levels for the past 24 hours. Solar
wind speed reached a peak of 408 km/s at 24/1621Z. Total IMF reached 11
nT at 24/1952Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -8 nT at
24/1932Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached
a peak level of 104 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet to minor storm levels on day one (25 Feb), quiet to
unsettled levels on day two (26 Feb) and quiet levels on day three (27
Feb). Protons have a slight chance of crossing threshold on days one,
two, and three (25 Feb, 26 Feb, 27 Feb).
III. Probabilidades del evento 25 Feb a 27 Feb
| Clase M | 70% | 70% | 70% |
| Clase X | 30% | 30% | 30% |
| Protón | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 24 Feb 179 Previsto 25 Feb-27 Feb 180/180/175 Media de 90 Días 24 Feb 163
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 23 Feb 002/002 Estimado Afr/Ap 24 Feb 007/008 Previsto Afr/Ap 25 Feb-27 Feb 015/020-010/012-006/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 25 Feb a 27 Feb
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 40% | 30% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 25% | 10% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 25% | 25% | 20% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 65% | 40% | 20% |
All times in UTC
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Hechos clima espacial
| Último evento clase X | 02/02/2026 | X2.9 |
| Último evento clase M | 02/02/2026 | M5.2 |
| Últimas tormentas geomagnéticas | 28/01/2026 | Kp5+ (G1) |
| Días sin manchas | |
|---|---|
| Último día sin manchas | 08/06/2022 |
| Promedio de manchas solares mensuales | |
|---|---|
| diciembre 2025 | 124 +32.2 |
| Last 30 days | 119 +4.2 |