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Informe actividad solar
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2024 Mar 01 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 61 Publicado el 2200Z a las 01 Mar 2024IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 29-2100Z hasta 01-2100Z Solar activity has been at low levels for the past 24 hours.
The largest solar event of the period was a C3 event observed at
01/0125Z from Region 3590 (N18W80). There are currently 9 numbered
sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low with
a chance for M-class flares and a slight chance for an X-class flare on
day one (02 Mar) and expected to be low with a chance for M-class flares
on days two and three (03 Mar, 04 Mar).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 29-2100Z a 01-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet to unsettled levels for the past 24 hours. Solar
wind speed reached a peak of 427 km/s at 01/0342Z. Total IMF reached 5
nT at 01/0323Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -4 nT at
01/0206Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached
a peak level of 138 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet to active levels on days one and two (02 Mar, 03 Mar) and
quiet to unsettled levels on day three (04 Mar). Protons greater than 10
Mev have a slight chance of crossing threshold on day one (02 Mar).
III. Probabilidades del evento 02 Mar a 04 Mar
| Clase M | 50% | 25% | 25% |
| Clase X | 10% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 15% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 01 Mar 153 Previsto 02 Mar-04 Mar 150/150/155 Media de 90 Días 01 Mar 163
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 29 Feb 004/003 Estimado Afr/Ap 01 Mar 009/010 Previsto Afr/Ap 02 Mar-04 Mar 009/012-010/012-008/010
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 02 Mar a 04 Mar
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 25% | 25% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 20% | 20% | 25% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 25% | 20% | 25% |
All times in UTC
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Hechos clima espacial
| Último evento clase X | 04/02/2026 | X4.21 |
| Último evento clase M | 25/02/2026 | M2.4 |
| Últimas tormentas geomagnéticas | 03/03/2026 | Kp5 (G1) |
| Días sin manchas | |
|---|---|
| Last 365 days | 3 días |
| 2026 | 3 días (4%) |
| Último día sin manchas | 24/02/2026 |
| Promedio de manchas solares mensuales | |
|---|---|
| febrero 2026 | 78.2 -34.3 |
| marzo 2026 | 74.8 -3.4 |
| Last 30 days | 53.3 -74.6 |