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Informe actividad solar
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2024 Jul 04 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 186 Publicado el 2200Z a las 04 Jul 2024IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 03-2100Z hasta 04-2100Z Solar activity has been at moderate levels for the past 24
hours. The largest solar event of the period was a M1 event observed at
04/2005Z from Region 3730 (S18W85). There are currently 7 numbered
sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low with
a chance for M-class flares on days one, two, and three (05 Jul, 06 Jul,
07 Jul).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 03-2100Z a 04-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet to unsettled levels for the past 24 hours. Solar
wind speed reached a peak of 394 km/s at 03/2221Z. Total IMF reached 10
nT at 04/1911Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -9 nT at
04/1810Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached
a peak level of 792 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet to unsettled levels on day one (05 Jul) and quiet levels
on days two and three (06 Jul, 07 Jul).
III. Probabilidades del evento 05 Jul a 07 Jul
| Clase M | 35% | 35% | 35% |
| Clase X | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Protón | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 04 Jul 173 Previsto 05 Jul-07 Jul 175/172/168 Media de 90 Días 04 Jul 181
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 03 Jul 006/006 Estimado Afr/Ap 04 Jul 007/008 Previsto Afr/Ap 05 Jul-07 Jul 008/008-005/005-006/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 05 Jul a 07 Jul
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 01% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 25% | 20% | 20% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 25% | 20% | 20% |
All times in UTC
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Hechos clima espacial
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| Último evento clase M | 20/12/2025 | M1.0 |
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