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Informe actividad solar
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2024 Aug 29 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 242 Publicado el 2200Z a las 29 Aug 2024IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 28-2100Z hasta 29-2100Z Solar activity has been at low levels for the past 24 hours.
The largest solar event of the period was a C7 event observed at
29/0418Z from Region 3806 (S10E56). There are currently 8 numbered
sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is likely to be moderate
with a slight chance for an X-class flare on days one, two, and three
(30 Aug, 31 Aug, 01 Sep).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 28-2100Z a 29-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet to unsettled levels for the past 24 hours. Solar
wind speed reached a peak of 360 km/s at 29/0853Z. Total IMF reached 18
nT at 28/2158Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -2 nT at
28/2357Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached
a peak level of 131 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet to unsettled levels on days one and three (30 Aug, 01
Sep) and quiet levels on day two (31 Aug). Protons have a slight chance
of crossing threshold on days one, two, and three (30 Aug, 31 Aug, 01
Sep).
III. Probabilidades del evento 30 Aug a 01 Sep
| Clase M | 60% | 60% | 60% |
| Clase X | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Protón | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 29 Aug 204 Previsto 30 Aug-01 Sep 210/220/215 Media de 90 Días 29 Aug 210
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 28 Aug 030/026 Estimado Afr/Ap 29 Aug 008/009 Previsto Afr/Ap 30 Aug-01 Sep 008/008-007/008-008/008
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 30 Aug a 01 Sep
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 25% | 25% | 25% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 25% | 25% | 25% |
All times in UTC
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Hechos clima espacial
| Último evento clase X | 04/02/2026 | X4.3 |
| Último evento clase M | 05/02/2026 | M1.1 |
| Últimas tormentas geomagnéticas | 05/02/2026 | Kp5+ (G1) |
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