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Informe actividad solar
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2024 Sep 22 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 266 Publicado el 2200Z a las 22 Sep 2024IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 21-2100Z hasta 22-2100Z Solar activity has been at low levels for the past 24 hours.
The largest solar event of the period was a C3 event observed at
22/1327Z from Region 3828 (S12W09). There are currently 7 numbered
sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low with
a chance for M-class flares on days one, two, and three (23 Sep, 24 Sep,
25 Sep).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 21-2100Z a 22-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed
reached a peak of 447 km/s at 22/0301Z. Total IMF reached 7 nT at
22/1949Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -5 nT at
22/1938Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached
a peak level of 2344 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet levels on days one and two (23 Sep, 24 Sep) and quiet to
unsettled levels on day three (25 Sep).
III. Probabilidades del evento 23 Sep a 25 Sep
| Clase M | 25% | 25% | 25% |
| Clase X | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Protón | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 22 Sep 163 Previsto 23 Sep-25 Sep 160/160/160 Media de 90 Días 22 Sep 214
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 21 Sep 006/006 Estimado Afr/Ap 22 Sep 005/005 Previsto Afr/Ap 23 Sep-25 Sep 005/005-005/005-008/008
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 23 Sep a 25 Sep
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 15% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 20% | 25% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 15% | 20% | 30% |
All times in UTC
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Hechos clima espacial
| Último evento clase X | 04/02/2026 | X4.21 |
| Último evento clase M | 25/02/2026 | M2.4 |
| Últimas tormentas geomagnéticas | 03/03/2026 | Kp5 (G1) |
| Días sin manchas | |
|---|---|
| Last 365 days | 3 días |
| 2026 | 3 días (5%) |
| Último día sin manchas | 24/02/2026 |
| Promedio de manchas solares mensuales | |
|---|---|
| enero 2026 | 112.6 -11.4 |
| marzo 2026 | 75 -37.6 |
| Last 30 days | 59.2 -65.5 |