Viendo archivo del viernes, 13 diciembre 2024
Informe actividad solar
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2024 Dec 13 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 348 Publicado el 2200Z a las 13 Dec 2024IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 12-2100Z hasta 13-2100Z Solar activity has been at moderate levels for the past 24
hours. The largest solar event of the period was a M2 event observed at
13/1124Z from Region 3917 (S08W56). There are currently 4 numbered
sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is likely to be moderate on
days one, two, and three (14 Dec, 15 Dec, 16 Dec).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 12-2100Z a 13-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed
reached a peak of 362 km/s at 12/2210Z. Total IMF reached 7 nT at
13/1211Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -6 nT at
13/1544Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached
a peak level of 834 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet levels on day one (14 Dec) and quiet to unsettled levels
on days two and three (15 Dec, 16 Dec).
III. Probabilidades del evento 14 Dec a 16 Dec
| Clase M | 55% | 55% | 55% |
| Clase X | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Protón | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 13 Dec 164 Previsto 14 Dec-16 Dec 165/165/170 Media de 90 Días 13 Dec 200
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 12 Dec 004/003 Estimado Afr/Ap 13 Dec 004/005 Previsto Afr/Ap 14 Dec-16 Dec 005/005-008/010-009/008
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 14 Dec a 16 Dec
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 20% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 20% | 30% | 25% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 15% | 30% | 25% |
All times in UTC
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Hechos clima espacial
| Último evento clase X | 30/03/2026 | X1.4 |
| Último evento clase M | 28/03/2026 | M1.3 |
| Últimas tormentas geomagnéticas | 25/03/2026 | Kp5+ (G1) |
| Días sin manchas | |
|---|---|
| Last 365 days | 3 días |
| 2026 | 3 días (3%) |
| Último día sin manchas | 24/02/2026 |
| Promedio de manchas solares mensuales | |
|---|---|
| febrero 2026 | 78.2 -34.3 |
| marzo 2026 | 88.4 +10.2 |
| Last 30 days | 88.4 +14.9 |
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