Viendo archivo del sábado, 21 diciembre 2024
Informe actividad solar
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2024 Dec 21 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 356 Publicado el 2200Z a las 21 Dec 2024IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 20-2100Z hasta 21-2100Z Solar activity has been at moderate levels for the past 24
hours. The largest solar event of the period was a M1 event observed at
21/0038Z from Region 3932 (S17E56). There are currently 10 numbered
sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is likely to be moderate
with a slight chance for an X-class flare on days one, two, and three
(22 Dec, 23 Dec, 24 Dec).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 20-2100Z a 21-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet to active levels for the past 24 hours. Solar
wind speed reached a peak of 569 km/s at 21/0842Z. Total IMF reached 9
nT at 21/0206Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -8 nT at
21/2058Z. Protons greater than 10 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a
peak level of 5 pfu at 21/1820Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at
geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 756 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet levels on day one (22 Dec) and quiet to unsettled levels
on days two and three (23 Dec, 24 Dec).
III. Probabilidades del evento 22 Dec a 24 Dec
| Clase M | 60% | 60% | 60% |
| Clase X | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Protón | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 21 Dec 195 Previsto 22 Dec-24 Dec 190/190/190 Media de 90 Días 21 Dec 201
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 20 Dec 010/011 Estimado Afr/Ap 21 Dec 011/014 Previsto Afr/Ap 22 Dec-24 Dec 005/008-008/008-009/010
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 22 Dec a 24 Dec
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 20% | 25% | 25% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 15% | 25% | 25% |
All times in UTC
< < Ir a la visión general diaria
Últimas noticias
domingo, 1 febrero 2026
Complex sunspot region 4366
lunes, 19 enero 2026
CME impact! S4 solar radiation storm
domingo, 18 enero 2026
X1.9 solar flare with earth-directed CME
Últimos mensajes del foro
Solar Cycle 25 6Incoming & Unnumbered Active Regions 221Space Weather Memes 803Current Farside Activity 408Do the high-resolution sunspot counts point to more complex sunspots? 76
Más temasApoye a SpaceWeatherLive.com!
A lot of people come to SpaceWeatherLive to follow the Solar activity or if there is a chance to see the aurora, but with more traffic comes higher costs to keep the servers online. If you like SpaceWeatherLive and want to support the project you can choose a subscription for an ad-free site or consider a donation. With your help we can keep SpaceWeatherLive online!
Hechos clima espacial
| Último evento clase X | 04/02/2026 | X4.21 |
| Último evento clase M | 25/02/2026 | M2.4 |
| Últimas tormentas geomagnéticas | 03/03/2026 | Kp5 (G1) |
| Días sin manchas | |
|---|---|
| Last 365 days | 3 días |
| 2026 | 3 días (5%) |
| Último día sin manchas | 24/02/2026 |
| Promedio de manchas solares mensuales | |
|---|---|
| febrero 2026 | 78.2 -34.3 |
| marzo 2026 | 75 -3.2 |
| Last 30 days | 57.2 -67.7 |