Viendo archivo del viernes, 31 enero 2025
Informe actividad solar
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2025 Jan 31 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 31 Publicado el 2200Z a las 31 Jan 2025IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 30-2100Z hasta 31-2100Z Solar activity has been at high levels for the past 24 hours.
The largest solar event of the period was a M6 event observed at
31/1406Z from Region 3976 (N13E28). There are currently 7 numbered
sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is likely to be moderate
with a slight chance for an X-class flare on days one, two, and three
(01 Feb, 02 Feb, 03 Feb).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 30-2100Z a 31-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet to unsettled levels for the past 24 hours. Solar
wind speed reached a peak of 385 km/s at 31/2024Z. Total IMF reached 17
nT at 31/1734Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -8 nT at
31/0926Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached
a peak level of 134 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet to minor storm levels on day one (01 Feb), quiet to
active levels on day two (02 Feb) and quiet levels on day three (03
Feb). Protons have a slight chance of crossing threshold on days one,
two, and three (01 Feb, 02 Feb, 03 Feb).
III. Probabilidades del evento 01 Feb a 03 Feb
| Clase M | 55% | 60% | 60% |
| Clase X | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Protón | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 31 Jan 207 Previsto 01 Feb-03 Feb 210/215/220 Media de 90 Días 31 Jan 195
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 30 Jan 004/003 Estimado Afr/Ap 31 Jan 009/012 Previsto Afr/Ap 01 Feb-03 Feb 017/024-011/013-007/008
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 01 Feb a 03 Feb
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 40% | 30% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 25% | 10% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 25% | 30% | 25% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 60% | 40% | 25% |
All times in UTC
< < Ir a la visión general diaria
Últimas noticias
miércoles, 31 diciembre 2025
Happy New Year! Celebrate with an M7.1 solar flare!
domingo, 7 diciembre 2025
M8.1 solar flare with earth-directed CME
lunes, 1 diciembre 2025
X1.9 solar flare, Coronal hole faces Earth
Últimos mensajes del foro
Más temasApoye a SpaceWeatherLive.com!
A lot of people come to SpaceWeatherLive to follow the Solar activity or if there is a chance to see the aurora, but with more traffic comes higher costs to keep the servers online. If you like SpaceWeatherLive and want to support the project you can choose a subscription for an ad-free site or consider a donation. With your help we can keep SpaceWeatherLive online!
Hechos clima espacial
| Último evento clase X | 08/12/2025 | X1.1 |
| Último evento clase M | 31/12/2025 | M7.11 |
| Últimas tormentas geomagnéticas | 02/01/2026 | Kp5 (G1) |
| Días sin manchas | |
|---|---|
| Último día sin manchas | 08/06/2022 |
| Promedio de manchas solares mensuales | |
|---|---|
| diciembre 2025 | 124 +32.2 |
| enero 2026 | 119.3 -4.8 |
| Last 30 days | 108.2 +0.2 |