Viendo archivo del miércoles, 19 marzo 2025
Informe actividad solar
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2025 Mar 19 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 78 Publicado el 2200Z a las 19 Mar 2025IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 18-2100Z hasta 19-2100Z Solar activity has been at moderate levels for the past 24
hours. There are currently 11 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low with
a chance for M-class flares on days one, two, and three (20 Mar, 21 Mar,
22 Mar).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 18-2100Z a 19-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet to minor storm levels for the past 24 hours.
Solar wind speed reached a peak of 520 km/s at 19/1731Z. Total IMF
reached 12 nT at 19/0335Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached
-10 nT at 19/0319Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous
orbit reached a peak level of 596 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet to minor storm levels on day one (20 Mar), quiet to
unsettled levels on day two (21 Mar) and quiet to active levels on day
three (22 Mar).
III. Probabilidades del evento 20 Mar a 22 Mar
| Clase M | 30% | 30% | 30% |
| Clase X | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Protón | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 19 Mar 180 Previsto 20 Mar-22 Mar 180/175/165 Media de 90 Días 19 Mar 189
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 18 Mar 013/012 Estimado Afr/Ap 19 Mar 019/023 Previsto Afr/Ap 20 Mar-22 Mar 015/020-009/008-010/012
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 20 Mar a 22 Mar
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 40% | 25% | 35% |
| Tormenta Menor | 20% | 10% | 15% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 15% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 25% | 25% | 25% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 60% | 35% | 50% |
All times in UTC
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Hechos clima espacial
| Último evento clase X | 24/04/2026 | X2.5 |
| Último evento clase M | 17/05/2026 | M1.4 |
| Últimas tormentas geomagnéticas | 16/05/2026 | Kp6- (G2) |
| Días sin manchas | |
|---|---|
| Last 365 days | 3 días |
| 2026 | 3 días (2%) |
| Último día sin manchas | 24/02/2026 |
| Promedio de manchas solares mensuales | |
|---|---|
| abril 2026 | 79.3 -6.6 |
| mayo 2026 | 91.4 +12.1 |
| Last 30 days | 98.4 +8 |
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