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Informe actividad solar

Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2025 Mar 27 2200 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 86 Publicado el 2200Z a las 27 Mar 2025

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 26-2100Z hasta 27-2100Z

Solar activity has been at moderate levels for the past 24 hours. There are currently 5 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low with a chance for M-class flares on days one, two, and three (28 Mar, 29 Mar, 30 Mar).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 26-2100Z a 27-2100Z
The geomagnetic field has been at active to minor storm levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed reached a peak of 1025 km/s at 27/1654Z. Total IMF reached 20 nT at 26/2340Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -15 nT at 26/2154Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 416 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected to be at active levels on day one (28 Mar) and quiet to unsettled levels on days two and three (29 Mar, 30 Mar).
III. Probabilidades del evento 28 Mar a 30 Mar
Clase M25%25%25%
Clase X01%01%01%
Protón01%01%01%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       27 Mar 153
  Previsto   28 Mar-30 Mar 155/150/145
  Media de 90 Días        27 Mar 182

V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
  Observado Afr/Ap 26 Mar  026/048
  Estimado     Afr/Ap 27 Mar  023/034
  Previsto    Afr/Ap 28 Mar-30 Mar  018/025-013/015-008/008

VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 28 Mar a 30 Mar
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo35%20%10%
Tormenta Menor20%05%01%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa05%01%01%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo10%15%15%
Tormenta Menor25%25%20%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa50%25%20%

All times in UTC

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