Viendo archivo del sábado, 19 abril 2025
Informe actividad solar
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2025 Apr 19 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 109 Publicado el 2200Z a las 19 Apr 2025IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 18-2100Z hasta 19-2100Z Solar activity has been at moderate levels for the past 24
hours. There are currently 7 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low with
a chance for M-class flares on days one, two, and three (20 Apr, 21 Apr,
22 Apr).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 18-2100Z a 19-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet to active levels for the past 24 hours. Solar
wind speed reached a peak of 520 km/s at 19/0612Z. Total IMF reached 9
nT at 19/2100Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -8 nT at
19/2058Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached
a peak level of 456 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet to active levels on days one and two (20 Apr, 21 Apr) and
quiet to major storm levels on day three (22 Apr).
III. Probabilidades del evento 20 Apr a 22 Apr
| Clase M | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Clase X | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 19 Apr 157 Previsto 20 Apr-22 Apr 160/165/165 Media de 90 Días 19 Apr 175
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 18 Apr 011/ 011 Estimado Afr/Ap 19 Apr 016/017 Previsto Afr/Ap 20 Apr-22 Apr 009/010-006/008-023/035
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 20 Apr a 22 Apr
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 30% | 15% | 35% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 05% | 40% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 20% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 05% |
| Tormenta Menor | 30% | 20% | 15% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 40% | 20% | 80% |
All times in UTC
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Hechos clima espacial
| Último evento clase X | 30/03/2026 | X1.5 |
| Último evento clase M | 09/04/2026 | M1.0 |
| Últimas tormentas geomagnéticas | 03/04/2026 | Kp7- (G3) |
| Días sin manchas | |
|---|---|
| Last 365 days | 3 días |
| 2026 | 3 días (3%) |
| Último día sin manchas | 24/02/2026 |
| Promedio de manchas solares mensuales | |
|---|---|
| marzo 2026 | 85.9 +7.7 |
| abril 2026 | 94.2 +8.3 |
| Last 30 days | 94.7 +35.4 |
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