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Informe actividad solar

Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2025 May 23 2200 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 143 Publicado el 2200Z a las 23 May 2025

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 22-2100Z hasta 23-2100Z

Solar activity has been at low levels for the past 24 hours. There are currently 9 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low with a chance for M-class flares on days one, two, and three (24 May, 25 May, 26 May).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 22-2100Z a 23-2100Z
The geomagnetic field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed reached a peak of 556 km/s at 23/0855Z. Total IMF reached 8 nT at 23/1722Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -5 nT at 23/1506Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 1707 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected to be at quiet to active levels on days one, two, and three (24 May, 25 May, 26 May).
III. Probabilidades del evento 24 May a 26 May
Clase M25%25%25%
Clase X05%05%05%
Protón01%01%01%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       23 May 122
  Previsto   24 May-26 May 120/120/130
  Media de 90 Días        23 May 157

V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
  Observado Afr/Ap 22 May  007/ 006
  Estimado     Afr/Ap 23 May  007/008
  Previsto    Afr/Ap 24 May-26 May  011/012-010/012-010/012

VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 24 May a 26 May
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo30%30%30%
Tormenta Menor10%10%10%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo15%15%15%
Tormenta Menor25%25%25%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa40%40%40%

All times in UTC

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