Viendo archivo del jueves, 29 mayo 2025
Informe actividad solar
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2025 May 29 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 149 Publicado el 2200Z a las 29 May 2025IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 28-2100Z hasta 29-2100Z Solar activity has been at low levels for the past 24 hours.
There are currently 8 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low with
a chance for M-class flares and a slight chance for an X-class flare on
days one, two, and three (30 May, 31 May, 01 Jun).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 28-2100Z a 29-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at unsettled to severe storm levels for the past 24
hours. Solar wind speed reached a peak of 837 km/s at 29/1956Z. Total
IMF reached 25 nT at 29/0007Z. The maximum southward component of Bz
reached -24 nT at 29/0007Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at
geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 581 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at unsettled to major storm levels on day one (30 May) and quiet
to minor storm levels on days two and three (31 May, 01 Jun). Protons
have a slight chance of crossing threshold on days one, two, and three
(30 May, 31 May, 01 Jun).
III. Probabilidades del evento 30 May a 01 Jun
| Clase M | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Clase X | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Protón | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 29 May 145 Previsto 30 May-01 Jun 138/135/135 Media de 90 Días 29 May 154
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 28 May 017/ N60 Estimado Afr/Ap 29 May 040/069 Previsto Afr/Ap 30 May-01 Jun 029/032-018/022-017/020
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 30 May a 01 Jun
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 35% | 40% | 40% |
| Tormenta Menor | 35% | 25% | 25% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 20% | 05% | 05% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 05% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 20% | 25% | 25% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 75% | 60% | 60% |
All times in UTC
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Hechos clima espacial
| Último evento clase X | 03/06/2026 | X1.0 |
| Último evento clase M | 06/06/2026 | M1.8 |
| Últimas tormentas geomagnéticas | 11/06/2026 | Kp5 (G1) |
| Días sin manchas | |
|---|---|
| Last 365 days | 3 días |
| 2026 | 3 días (2%) |
| Último día sin manchas | 24/02/2026 |
| Promedio de manchas solares mensuales | |
|---|---|
| mayo 2026 | 101.4 +22.1 |
| junio 2026 | 104.7 +3.3 |
| Last 30 days | 108.3 +10.8 |
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