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Informe actividad solar
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2025 Jun 18 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 169 Publicado el 2200Z a las 18 Jun 2025IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 17-2100Z hasta 18-2100Z Solar activity has been at high levels for the past 24 hours.
There are currently 6 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be moderate
with a chance for X-class flares on days one, two, and three (19 Jun, 20
Jun, 21 Jun).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 17-2100Z a 18-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet to unsettled levels for the past 24 hours. Solar
wind speed reached a peak of 557 km/s at 18/2042Z. Total IMF reached 10
nT at 18/0540Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -7 nT at
18/1011Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached
a peak level of 892 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet to active levels on day one (19 Jun), quiet to minor
storm levels on day two (20 Jun) and quiet to unsettled levels on day
three (21 Jun). Protons have a slight chance of crossing threshold on
days one, two, and three (19 Jun, 20 Jun, 21 Jun).
III. Probabilidades del evento 19 Jun a 21 Jun
| Clase M | 75% | 75% | 75% |
| Clase X | 25% | 25% | 25% |
| Protón | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 18 Jun 137 Previsto 19 Jun-21 Jun 140/140/140 Media de 90 Días 18 Jun 148
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 17 Jun 009/ NA Estimado Afr/Ap 18 Jun 014/017 Previsto Afr/Ap 19 Jun-21 Jun 010/012-018/024-007/010
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 19 Jun a 21 Jun
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 30% | 35% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 25% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 05% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 10% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 30% | 25% | 30% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 40% | 65% | 25% |
All times in UTC
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Hechos clima espacial
| Último evento clase X | 08/12/2025 | X1.1 |
| Último evento clase M | 31/12/2025 | M7.11 |
| Últimas tormentas geomagnéticas | 02/01/2026 | Kp5 (G1) |
| Días sin manchas | |
|---|---|
| Último día sin manchas | 08/06/2022 |
| Promedio de manchas solares mensuales | |
|---|---|
| diciembre 2025 | 124 +32.2 |
| enero 2026 | 112.1 -11.9 |
| Last 30 days | 105.6 -3.7 |