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Informe actividad solar
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2025 Jun 21 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 172 Publicado el 2200Z a las 21 Jun 2025IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 20-2100Z hasta 21-2100Z Solar activity has been at low levels for the past 24 hours.
There are currently 6 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is likely to be moderate
with a slight chance for an X-class flare on days one, two, and three
(22 Jun, 23 Jun, 24 Jun).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 20-2100Z a 21-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet to active levels for the past 24 hours. Solar
wind speed reached a peak of 600 km/s at 21/0732Z. Total IMF reached 9
nT at 21/1657Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -7 nT at
21/1525Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached
a peak level of 1150 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet to unsettled levels on day one (22 Jun) and quiet to
active levels on days two and three (23 Jun, 24 Jun). Protons have a
slight chance of crossing threshold on days one, two, and three (22 Jun,
23 Jun, 24 Jun).
III. Probabilidades del evento 22 Jun a 24 Jun
| Clase M | 55% | 55% | 55% |
| Clase X | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Protón | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 21 Jun 120 Previsto 22 Jun-24 Jun 120/115/115 Media de 90 Días 21 Jun 147
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 20 Jun 008/011 Estimado Afr/Ap 21 Jun 010/011 Previsto Afr/Ap 22 Jun-24 Jun 007/010-010/012-010/012
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 22 Jun a 24 Jun
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 30% | 30% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 30% | 25% | 25% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 25% | 40% | 40% |
All times in UTC
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Hechos clima espacial
| Último evento clase X | 04/02/2026 | X4.21 |
| Último evento clase M | 13/03/2026 | M1.19 |
| Últimas tormentas geomagnéticas | 14/03/2026 | Kp6 (G2) |
| Días sin manchas | |
|---|---|
| Last 365 days | 3 días |
| 2026 | 3 días (4%) |
| Último día sin manchas | 24/02/2026 |
| Promedio de manchas solares mensuales | |
|---|---|
| febrero 2026 | 78.2 -34.3 |
| marzo 2026 | 83.6 +5.4 |
| Last 30 days | 59 -67.6 |