Viendo archivo del lunes, 23 junio 2025
Informe actividad solar
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2025 Jun 23 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 174 Publicado el 2200Z a las 23 Jun 2025IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 22-2100Z hasta 23-2100Z Solar activity has been at low levels for the past 24 hours.
There are currently 7 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low with
a chance for M-class flares and a slight chance for an X-class flare on
days one, two, and three (24 Jun, 25 Jun, 26 Jun).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 22-2100Z a 23-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet to unsettled levels for the past 24 hours. Solar
wind speed reached a peak of 530 km/s at 22/2358Z. Total IMF reached 6
nT at 23/0039Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -5 nT at
23/0010Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached
a peak level of 1271 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet to active levels on day one (24 Jun), unsettled to major
storm levels on day two (25 Jun) and unsettled to minor storm levels on
day three (26 Jun). Protons have a slight chance of crossing threshold
on days one, two, and three (24 Jun, 25 Jun, 26 Jun).
III. Probabilidades del evento 24 Jun a 26 Jun
| Clase M | 35% | 35% | 35% |
| Clase X | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Protón | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 23 Jun 122 Previsto 24 Jun-26 Jun 120/120/125 Media de 90 Días 23 Jun 146
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 22 Jun 009/ 008 Estimado Afr/Ap 23 Jun 010/011 Previsto Afr/Ap 24 Jun-26 Jun 010/012-028/040-021/028
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 24 Jun a 26 Jun
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 30% | 30% | 35% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 35% | 25% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 25% | 05% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 05% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 25% | 20% | 25% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 40% | 80% | 55% |
All times in UTC
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Hechos clima espacial
| Último evento clase X | 30/03/2026 | X1.5 |
| Último evento clase M | 09/04/2026 | M1.0 |
| Últimas tormentas geomagnéticas | 03/04/2026 | Kp7- (G3) |
| Días sin manchas | |
|---|---|
| Last 365 days | 3 días |
| 2026 | 3 días (3%) |
| Último día sin manchas | 24/02/2026 |
| Promedio de manchas solares mensuales | |
|---|---|
| marzo 2026 | 85.9 +7.7 |
| abril 2026 | 94.2 +8.3 |
| Last 30 days | 94.7 +35.4 |
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