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Informe actividad solar
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2025 Jul 24 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 205 Publicado el 2200Z a las 24 Jul 2025IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 23-2100Z hasta 24-2100Z Solar activity has been at low levels for the past 24 hours.
There are currently 10 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low with
a chance for M-class flares on days one, two, and three (25 Jul, 26 Jul,
27 Jul).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 23-2100Z a 24-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at unsettled to active levels for the past 24 hours.
Solar wind speed reached a peak of 818 km/s at 24/0738Z. Total IMF
reached 7 nT at 23/2128Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached
-5 nT at 24/0921Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit
reached a peak level of 2294 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet to active levels on day one (25 Jul), quiet levels on day
two (26 Jul) and quiet to minor storm levels on day three (27 Jul).
III. Probabilidades del evento 25 Jul a 27 Jul
| Clase M | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Clase X | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 24 Jul 156 Previsto 25 Jul-27 Jul 155/150/155 Media de 90 Días 24 Jul 135
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 23 Jul 020/ 027 Estimado Afr/Ap 24 Jul 016/021 Previsto Afr/Ap 25 Jul-27 Jul 010/012-005/006-014/020
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 25 Jul a 27 Jul
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 25% | 10% | 35% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 01% | 30% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 10% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 20% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 25% | 20% | 20% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 30% | 10% | 65% |
All times in UTC
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Hechos clima espacial
| Último evento clase X | 08/12/2025 | X1.1 |
| Último evento clase M | 31/12/2025 | M7.11 |
| Últimas tormentas geomagnéticas | 02/01/2026 | Kp5 (G1) |
| Días sin manchas | |
|---|---|
| Último día sin manchas | 08/06/2022 |
| Promedio de manchas solares mensuales | |
|---|---|
| diciembre 2025 | 124 +32.2 |
| enero 2026 | 126.7 +2.7 |
| Last 30 days | 109.3 +2.1 |