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Informe actividad solar
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2025 Aug 07 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 219 Publicado el 2200Z a las 07 Aug 2025IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 06-2100Z hasta 07-2100Z Solar activity has been at moderate levels for the past 24
hours. There are currently 9 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is likely to be moderate
with a slight chance for an X-class flare on days one, two, and three
(08 Aug, 09 Aug, 10 Aug).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 06-2100Z a 07-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed
reached a peak of 476 km/s at 07/0711Z. Total IMF reached 5 nT at
06/2101Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -3 nT at
06/2103Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached
a peak level of 752 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at unsettled to major storm levels on day one (08 Aug), unsettled
to minor storm levels on day two (09 Aug) and unsettled to active levels
on day three (10 Aug). Protons greater than 10 Mev have a slight chance
of crossing threshold on day one (08 Aug).
III. Probabilidades del evento 08 Aug a 10 Aug
| Clase M | 55% | 55% | 55% |
| Clase X | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Protón | 15% | 05% | 05% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 07 Aug 151 Previsto 08 Aug-10 Aug 145/140/140 Media de 90 Días 07 Aug 134
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 06 Aug 009/ NA Estimado Afr/Ap 07 Aug 008/010 Previsto Afr/Ap 08 Aug-10 Aug 022/032-021/026-015/020
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 08 Aug a 10 Aug
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 35% | 30% | 40% |
| Tormenta Menor | 35% | 25% | 30% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 10% | 10% | 05% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 05% | 10% | 05% |
| Tormenta Menor | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 70% | 60% | 65% |
All times in UTC
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Hechos clima espacial
| Último evento clase X | 18/01/2026 | X1.9 |
| Último evento clase M | 21/01/2026 | M3.4 |
| Últimas tormentas geomagnéticas | 28/01/2026 | Kp5+ (G1) |
| Días sin manchas | |
|---|---|
| Último día sin manchas | 08/06/2022 |
| Promedio de manchas solares mensuales | |
|---|---|
| diciembre 2025 | 124 +32.2 |
| enero 2026 | 119.3 -4.7 |
| Last 30 days | 120.3 +3.4 |