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Informe actividad solar
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2025 Aug 22 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 234 Publicado el 2200Z a las 22 Aug 2025IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 21-2100Z hasta 22-2100Z Solar activity has been at moderate levels for the past 24
hours. There are currently 4 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is likely to be low with a
slight chance for an M-class flare on days one and two (23 Aug, 24 Aug)
and expected to be low with a chance for M-class flares on day three (25
Aug).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 21-2100Z a 22-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet to unsettled levels for the past 24 hours. Solar
wind speed reached a peak of 778 km/s at 22/0600Z. Total IMF reached 7
nT at 21/2201Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -5 nT at
21/2339Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached
a peak level of 876 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet levels on days one and two (23 Aug, 24 Aug) and quiet to
active levels on day three (25 Aug).
III. Probabilidades del evento 23 Aug a 25 Aug
| Clase M | 15% | 20% | 25% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 05% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 22 Aug 136 Previsto 23 Aug-25 Aug 138/145/140 Media de 90 Días 22 Aug 136
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 21 Aug 008/008 Estimado Afr/Ap 22 Aug 008/008 Previsto Afr/Ap 23 Aug-25 Aug 006/005-006/005-010/012
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 23 Aug a 25 Aug
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 10% | 35% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 01% | 15% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 20% | 20% | 30% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 20% | 20% | 50% |
All times in UTC
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Hechos clima espacial
| Último evento clase X | 08/12/2025 | X1.1 |
| Último evento clase M | 12/12/2025 | M1.1 |
| Últimas tormentas geomagnéticas | 12/12/2025 | Kp5 (G1) |
| Días sin manchas | |
|---|---|
| Último día sin manchas | 08/06/2022 |
| Promedio de manchas solares mensuales | |
|---|---|
| noviembre 2025 | 91.8 -22.8 |
| diciembre 2025 | 128 +36.2 |
| Last 30 days | 108.4 +15.8 |