Viendo archivo del miércoles, 10 septiembre 2025
Informe actividad solar
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2025 Sep 10 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 253 Publicado el 2200Z a las 10 Sep 2025IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 09-2100Z hasta 10-2100Z Solar activity has been at low levels for the past 24 hours.
There are currently 7 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low with
a chance for M-class flares on days one, two, and three (11 Sep, 12 Sep,
13 Sep).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 09-2100Z a 10-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet to major storm levels for the past 24 hours.
Solar wind speed reached a peak of 584 km/s at 10/0829Z. Total IMF
reached 8 nT at 09/2106Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached
-6 nT at 09/2127Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit
reached a peak level of 991 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet to active levels on day one (11 Sep) and quiet levels on
days two and three (12 Sep, 13 Sep).
III. Probabilidades del evento 11 Sep a 13 Sep
| Clase M | 25% | 35% | 35% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 10 Sep 119 Previsto 11 Sep-13 Sep 125/120/120 Media de 90 Días 10 Sep 145
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 09 Sep 015/ 018 Estimado Afr/Ap 10 Sep 016/020 Previsto Afr/Ap 11 Sep-13 Sep 010/012-006/005-006/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 11 Sep a 13 Sep
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 01% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 30% | 20% | 20% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 25% | 20% | 20% |
All times in UTC
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Hechos clima espacial
| Último evento clase X | 24/04/2026 | X2.5 |
| Último evento clase M | 17/05/2026 | M1.4 |
| Últimas tormentas geomagnéticas | 16/05/2026 | Kp6- (G2) |
| Días sin manchas | |
|---|---|
| Last 365 days | 3 días |
| 2026 | 3 días (2%) |
| Último día sin manchas | 24/02/2026 |
| Promedio de manchas solares mensuales | |
|---|---|
| abril 2026 | 79.3 -6.6 |
| mayo 2026 | 90.4 +11.1 |
| Last 30 days | 99.3 +8.3 |
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