Viendo archivo del lunes, 29 septiembre 2025
Informe actividad solar
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2025 Sep 29 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 272 Publicado el 2200Z a las 29 Sep 2025IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 28-2100Z hasta 29-2100Z Solar activity has been at moderate levels for the past 24
hours. There are currently 11 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is likely to be moderate
with a slight chance for an X-class flare on days one, two, and three
(30 Sep, 01 Oct, 02 Oct).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 28-2100Z a 29-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet to minor storm levels for the past 24 hours.
Solar wind speed reached a peak of 480 km/s at 29/0622Z. Total IMF
reached 14 nT at 29/0602Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached
-13 nT at 29/0701Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous
orbit reached a peak level of 336 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet to active levels on day one (30 Sep), quiet to unsettled
levels on day two (01 Oct) and quiet levels on day three (02 Oct).
III. Probabilidades del evento 30 Sep a 02 Oct
| Clase M | 55% | 55% | 55% |
| Clase X | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Protón | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 29 Sep 186 Previsto 30 Sep-02 Oct 180/180/175 Media de 90 Días 29 Sep 150
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 28 Sep 009/010 Estimado Afr/Ap 29 Sep 014/018 Previsto Afr/Ap 30 Sep-02 Oct 013/015-009/012-006/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 30 Sep a 02 Oct
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 40% | 35% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 25% | 10% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 25% | 30% | 30% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 60% | 45% | 30% |
All times in UTC
< < Ir a la visión general diaria
Últimas noticias
miércoles, 13 mayo 2026
Coronal hole faces Earth
lunes, 30 marzo 2026
X1.5 solar flare
martes, 17 marzo 2026
M2.7 solar flare, CME arrival possible
Últimos mensajes del foro
Space Weather Memes 832Unspecified geomagnetic activity 258Incoming & Unnumbered Active Regions 390Current Farside Activity 564Coronal Hole 53 101
Más temasApoye a SpaceWeatherLive.com!
A lot of people come to SpaceWeatherLive to follow the Solar activity or if there is a chance to see the aurora, but with more traffic comes higher costs to keep the servers online. If you like SpaceWeatherLive and want to support the project you can choose a subscription for an ad-free site or consider a donation. With your help we can keep SpaceWeatherLive online!
Hechos clima espacial
| Último evento clase X | 24/04/2026 | X2.5 |
| Último evento clase M | 17/05/2026 | M1.4 |
| Últimas tormentas geomagnéticas | 16/05/2026 | Kp6- (G2) |
| Días sin manchas | |
|---|---|
| Last 365 days | 3 días |
| 2026 | 3 días (2%) |
| Último día sin manchas | 24/02/2026 |
| Promedio de manchas solares mensuales | |
|---|---|
| abril 2026 | 79.3 -6.6 |
| mayo 2026 | 89.2 +9.9 |
| Last 30 days | 99.3 +7.6 |
Efemérides*
Aurora on this day in history
No observations submitted for this day in history. If you've observed the aurora and you have some amazing photos to show off, submit your observations now!
Submit your aurora observation