Viendo archivo del miércoles, 8 octubre 2025
Informe actividad solar
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2025 Oct 08 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 281 Publicado el 2200Z a las 08 Oct 2025IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 07-2100Z hasta 08-2100Z Solar activity has been at low levels for the past 24 hours.
There are currently 5 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is likely to be low with a
slight chance for an M-class flare on day one (09 Oct) and expected to
be low with a chance for M-class flares on days two and three (10 Oct,
11 Oct).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 07-2100Z a 08-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet to active levels for the past 24 hours. Solar
wind speed reached a peak of 698 km/s at 08/0154Z. Total IMF reached 11
nT at 07/2313Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -6 nT at
07/2313Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached
a peak level of 4951 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet to unsettled levels on day one (09 Oct), quiet levels on
day two (10 Oct) and quiet to active levels on day three (11 Oct).
III. Probabilidades del evento 09 Oct a 11 Oct
| Clase M | 10% | 25% | 25% |
| Clase X | 01% | 05% | 05% |
| Protón | 05% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 08 Oct 120 Previsto 09 Oct-11 Oct 120/125/125 Media de 90 Días 08 Oct 153
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 07 Oct 014/015 Estimado Afr/Ap 08 Oct 014/018 Previsto Afr/Ap 09 Oct-11 Oct 009/008-006/005-010/014
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 09 Oct a 11 Oct
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 10% | 35% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 01% | 15% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 30% | 20% | 25% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 25% | 20% | 50% |
All times in UTC
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Hechos clima espacial
| Último evento clase X | 04/02/2026 | X4.3 |
| Último evento clase M | 05/02/2026 | M1.5 |
| Últimas tormentas geomagnéticas | 28/01/2026 | Kp5+ (G1) |
| Días sin manchas | |
|---|---|
| Último día sin manchas | 08/06/2022 |
| Promedio de manchas solares mensuales | |
|---|---|
| diciembre 2025 | 124 +32.2 |
| febrero 2026 | 141.3 +17.3 |
| Last 30 days | 123.1 +14.7 |