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Informe actividad solar

Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2025 Nov 03 2200 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 307 Publicado el 2200Z a las 03 Nov 2025

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 02-2100Z hasta 03-2100Z

Solar activity has been at high levels for the past 24 hours. There are currently 5 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is likely to be moderate with a slight chance for an X-class flare on days one, two, and three (04 Nov, 05 Nov, 06 Nov).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 02-2100Z a 03-2100Z
The geomagnetic field has been at unsettled to active levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed reached a peak of 550 km/s at 02/2118Z. Total IMF reached 9 nT at 03/1001Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -7 nT at 03/1335Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 6363 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected to be at quiet to unsettled levels on day one (04 Nov), quiet levels on day two (05 Nov) and quiet to minor storm levels on day three (06 Nov).
III. Probabilidades del evento 04 Nov a 06 Nov
Clase M55%55%55%
Clase X10%10%10%
Protón01%01%01%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       03 Nov 133
  Previsto   04 Nov-06 Nov 125/130/135
  Media de 90 Días        03 Nov 150

V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
  Observado Afr/Ap 02 Nov  015/018
  Estimado     Afr/Ap 03 Nov  015/022
  Previsto    Afr/Ap 04 Nov-06 Nov  008/012-006/008-016/018

VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 04 Nov a 06 Nov
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo20%10%35%
Tormenta Menor05%01%25%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%05%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo15%20%10%
Tormenta Menor25%20%25%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa30%10%60%

All times in UTC

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