Viendo archivo del lunes, 15 diciembre 2025
Informe actividad solar
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2025 Dec 15 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 349 Publicado el 2200Z a las 15 Dec 2025IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 14-2100Z hasta 15-2100Z Solar activity has been at low levels for the past 24 hours.
There are currently 4 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low with
a slight chance for an M-class flare on days one, two, and three (16
Dec, 17 Dec, 18 Dec).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 14-2100Z a 15-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet to unsettled levels for the past 24 hours. Solar
wind speed reached a peak of 556 km/s at 14/2119Z. Total IMF reached 9
nT at 15/2059Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -5 nT at
15/1327Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached
a peak level of 809 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet to unsettled levels on day one (16 Dec), quiet to active
levels on day two (17 Dec) and unsettled to minor storm levels on day
three (18 Dec).
III. Probabilidades del evento 16 Dec a 18 Dec
| Clase M | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 15 Dec 118 Previsto 16 Dec-18 Dec 120/120/118 Media de 90 Días 15 Dec 150
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 14 Dec 005/007 Estimado Afr/Ap 15 Dec 005/006 Previsto Afr/Ap 16 Dec-18 Dec 008/008-013/015-020/025
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 16 Dec a 18 Dec
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 35% | 35% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 20% | 30% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 05% | 15% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 10% | 05% |
| Tormenta Menor | 25% | 25% | 20% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 20% | 50% | 70% |
All times in UTC
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Hechos clima espacial
| Último evento clase X | 08/12/2025 | X1.1 |
| Último evento clase M | 31/12/2025 | M7.11 |
| Últimas tormentas geomagnéticas | 02/01/2026 | Kp5 (G1) |
| Días sin manchas | |
|---|---|
| Último día sin manchas | 08/06/2022 |
| Promedio de manchas solares mensuales | |
|---|---|
| diciembre 2025 | 124 +32.2 |
| enero 2026 | 122 -2 |
| Last 30 days | 109.2 +3.9 |