Viendo archivo del jueves, 12 febrero 2026
Informe actividad solar
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2026 Feb 12 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 43 Publicado el 2200Z a las 12 Feb 2026IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 11-2100Z hasta 12-2100Z Solar activity has been at moderate levels for the past 24
hours. There are currently 7 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low with
a slight chance for an M-class flare on days one, two, and three (13
Feb, 14 Feb, 15 Feb).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 11-2100Z a 12-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet to active levels for the past 24 hours. Solar
wind speed reached a peak of 461 km/s at 12/0740Z. Total IMF reached 7
nT at 12/0104Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -5 nT at
12/1450Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached
a peak level of 1205 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet levels on day one (13 Feb), quiet to unsettled levels on
day two (14 Feb) and quiet to minor storm levels on day three (15 Feb).
III. Probabilidades del evento 13 Feb a 15 Feb
| Clase M | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Clase X | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 12 Feb 129 Previsto 13 Feb-15 Feb 120/115/120 Media de 90 Días 12 Feb 150
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 11 Feb 013/018 Estimado Afr/Ap 12 Feb 009/009 Previsto Afr/Ap 13 Feb-15 Feb 006/005-011/012-015/020
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 13 Feb a 15 Feb
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 15% | 45% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 25% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 20% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 20% | 25% | 25% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 20% | 20% | 65% |
All times in UTC
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Hechos clima espacial
| Último evento clase X | 03/06/2026 | X1.0 |
| Último evento clase M | 20/06/2026 | M1.3 |
| Últimas tormentas geomagnéticas | 11/06/2026 | Kp5 (G1) |
| Días sin manchas | |
|---|---|
| Last 365 days | 3 días |
| 2026 | 3 días (2%) |
| Último día sin manchas | 24/02/2026 |
| Promedio de manchas solares mensuales | |
|---|---|
| mayo 2026 | 101.4 +22.1 |
| junio 2026 | 102.1 +0.7 |
| Last 30 days | 107.9 +9.7 |
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