Viendo archivo del domingo, 15 marzo 2026
Informe actividad solar
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2026 Mar 15 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 74 Publicado el 2200Z a las 15 Mar 2026IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 14-2100Z hasta 15-2100Z Solar activity has been at moderate levels for the past 24
hours. There are currently 6 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low with
a slight chance for an M-class flare on days one, two, and three (16
Mar, 17 Mar, 18 Mar).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 14-2100Z a 15-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet to active levels for the past 24 hours. Solar
wind speed reached a peak of 725 km/s at 14/2146Z. Total IMF reached 8
nT at 14/2159Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -5 nT at
14/2138Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached
a peak level of 1428 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet to active levels on day one (16 Mar) and quiet to
unsettled levels on days two and three (17 Mar, 18 Mar).
III. Probabilidades del evento 16 Mar a 18 Mar
| Clase M | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 15 Mar 109 Previsto 16 Mar-18 Mar 108/108/105 Media de 90 Días 15 Mar 142
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 14 Mar 019/040 Estimado Afr/Ap 15 Mar 014/018 Previsto Afr/Ap 16 Mar-18 Mar 011/015-008/010-007/008
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 16 Mar a 18 Mar
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 35% | 25% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 25% | 30% | 25% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 50% | 30% | 25% |
All times in UTC
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Hechos clima espacial
| Último evento clase X | 24/04/2026 | X2.5 |
| Último evento clase M | 29/05/2026 | M1.1 |
| Últimas tormentas geomagnéticas | 16/05/2026 | Kp6- (G2) |
| Días sin manchas | |
|---|---|
| Last 365 days | 3 días |
| 2026 | 3 días (2%) |
| Último día sin manchas | 24/02/2026 |
| Promedio de manchas solares mensuales | |
|---|---|
| abril 2026 | 79.3 -6.6 |
| mayo 2026 | 99.1 +19.8 |
| Last 30 days | 99.1 +7.5 |
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