Viendo archivo del martes, 17 marzo 2026
Informe actividad solar
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2026 Mar 17 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 76 Publicado el 2200Z a las 17 Mar 2026IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 16-2100Z hasta 17-2100Z Solar activity has been at moderate levels for the past 24
hours. There are currently 4 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low with
a chance for M-class flares on days one, two, and three (18 Mar, 19 Mar,
20 Mar).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 16-2100Z a 17-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed
reached a peak of 542 km/s at 16/2142Z. Total IMF reached 5 nT at
17/1102Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -2 nT at
17/0431Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached
a peak level of 2232 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet to unsettled levels on day one (18 Mar), quiet to major
storm levels on day two (19 Mar) and unsettled to minor storm levels on
day three (20 Mar). Protons greater than 10 Mev have a slight chance of
crossing threshold on days two and three (19 Mar, 20 Mar).
III. Probabilidades del evento 18 Mar a 20 Mar
| Clase M | 35% | 35% | 35% |
| Clase X | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Protón | 05% | 10% | 10% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 17 Mar 111 Previsto 18 Mar-20 Mar 112/110/110 Media de 90 Días 17 Mar 142
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 16 Mar 010/010 Estimado Afr/Ap 17 Mar 006/007 Previsto Afr/Ap 18 Mar-20 Mar 007/008-028/040-021/028
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 18 Mar a 20 Mar
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 25% | 35% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 35% | 35% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 25% | 15% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Menor | 25% | 15% | 20% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 25% | 75% | 70% |
All times in UTC
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Hechos clima espacial
| Último evento clase X | 24/04/2026 | X2.5 |
| Último evento clase M | 22/05/2026 | M2.3 |
| Últimas tormentas geomagnéticas | 16/05/2026 | Kp6- (G2) |
| Días sin manchas | |
|---|---|
| Last 365 days | 3 días |
| 2026 | 3 días (2%) |
| Último día sin manchas | 24/02/2026 |
| Promedio de manchas solares mensuales | |
|---|---|
| abril 2026 | 79.3 -6.6 |
| mayo 2026 | 91.5 +12.2 |
| Last 30 days | 94.7 +1.9 |
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