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Informe actividad solar
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2026 Mar 19 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 78 Publicado el 2200Z a las 19 Mar 2026IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 18-2100Z hasta 19-2100Z Solar activity has been at low levels for the past 24 hours.
There are currently 2 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is likely to be low with a
slight chance for an M-class flare on days one, two, and three (20 Mar,
21 Mar, 22 Mar).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 18-2100Z a 19-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed
reached a peak of 428 km/s at 18/2352Z. Total IMF reached 6 nT at
19/0905Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -2 nT at
19/1408Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached
a peak level of 4941 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at unsettled to major storm levels on day one (20 Mar), active to
major storm levels on day two (21 Mar) and unsettled to minor storm
levels on day three (22 Mar).
III. Probabilidades del evento 20 Mar a 22 Mar
| Clase M | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 19 Mar 106 Previsto 20 Mar-22 Mar 105/105/100 Media de 90 Días 19 Mar 142
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 18 Mar 004/005 Estimado Afr/Ap 19 Mar 009/013 Previsto Afr/Ap 20 Mar-22 Mar 027/044-035/050-020/030
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 20 Mar a 22 Mar
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 25% | 25% | 45% |
| Tormenta Menor | 35% | 35% | 30% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 30% | 35% | 05% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 15% | 20% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 75% | 79% | 70% |
All times in UTC
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Hechos clima espacial
| Último evento clase X | 24/04/2026 | X2.5 |
| Último evento clase M | 22/05/2026 | M2.3 |
| Últimas tormentas geomagnéticas | 16/05/2026 | Kp6- (G2) |
| Días sin manchas | |
|---|---|
| Last 365 days | 3 días |
| 2026 | 3 días (2%) |
| Último día sin manchas | 24/02/2026 |
| Promedio de manchas solares mensuales | |
|---|---|
| abril 2026 | 79.3 -6.6 |
| mayo 2026 | 94.2 +14.9 |
| Last 30 days | 97.1 +4.3 |
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