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Informe actividad solar

Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2026 Apr 05 2200 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 95 Publicado el 2200Z a las 05 Apr 2026

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 04-2100Z hasta 05-2100Z

Solar activity has been at moderate levels for the past 24 hours. There are currently 7 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is likely to be moderate with a slight chance for an X-class flare on days one, two, and three (06 Apr, 07 Apr, 08 Apr).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 04-2100Z a 05-2100Z
The geomagnetic field has been at quiet to active levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed reached a peak of 622 km/s at 05/0646Z. Total IMF reached 5 nT at 05/0733Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -4 nT at 05/0714Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 5995 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected to be at quiet to unsettled levels on days one and two (06 Apr, 07 Apr) and quiet levels on day three (08 Apr). Protons have a slight chance of crossing threshold on days one, two, and three (06 Apr, 07 Apr, 08 Apr).
III. Probabilidades del evento 06 Apr a 08 Apr
Clase M55%55%55%
Clase X15%15%15%
Protón15%15%15%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       05 Apr 118
  Previsto   06 Apr-08 Apr 118/115/113
  Media de 90 Días        05 Apr 137

V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
  Observado Afr/Ap 04 Apr  012/016
  Estimado     Afr/Ap 05 Apr  011/012
  Previsto    Afr/Ap 06 Apr-08 Apr  010/010-008/008-006/005

VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 06 Apr a 08 Apr
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo15%15%10%
Tormenta Menor05%05%01%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo15%15%15%
Tormenta Menor25%25%20%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa25%25%20%

All times in UTC

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