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Informe actividad solar

Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2026 Apr 24 2200 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 114 Publicado el 2200Z a las 24 Apr 2026

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 23-2100Z hasta 24-2100Z

Solar activity has been at high levels for the past 24 hours. There are currently 7 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be moderate with a chance for X-class flares on days one and two (25 Apr, 26 Apr) and likely to be moderate with a slight chance for an X-class flare on day three (27 Apr).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 23-2100Z a 24-2100Z
The geomagnetic field has been at quiet to unsettled levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed reached a peak of 455 km/s at 23/2132Z. Total IMF reached 7 nT at 24/1812Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -6 nT at 24/1812Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 5743 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected to be at quiet to minor storm levels on days one and two (25 Apr, 26 Apr) and quiet to unsettled levels on day three (27 Apr). Protons have a chance of crossing threshold on day one (25 Apr), are expected to cross threshold on day two (26 Apr) and have a slight chance of crossing threshold on day three (27 Apr).
III. Probabilidades del evento 25 Apr a 27 Apr
Clase M75%75%70%
Clase X35%30%20%
Protón25%99%10%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       24 Apr 146
  Previsto   25 Apr-27 Apr 152/148/145
  Media de 90 Días        24 Apr 129

V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
  Observado Afr/Ap 23 Apr  007/007
  Estimado     Afr/Ap 24 Apr  006/007
  Previsto    Afr/Ap 25 Apr-27 Apr  013/018-016/020-008/010

VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 25 Apr a 27 Apr
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo40%40%25%
Tormenta Menor25%25%05%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa05%05%01%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo10%10%15%
Tormenta Menor25%25%30%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa60%60%30%

All times in UTC

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