Viendo archivo del lunes, 4 mayo 2026
Informe actividad solar
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2026 May 04 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 124 Publicado el 2200Z a las 04 May 2026IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 03-2100Z hasta 04-2100Z Solar activity has been at moderate levels for the past 24
hours. There are currently 9 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low with
a chance for M-class flares on days one, two, and three (05 May, 06 May,
07 May).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 03-2100Z a 04-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet to major storm levels for the past 24 hours.
Solar wind speed reached a peak of 469 km/s at 04/2041Z. Total IMF
reached 10 nT at 04/1456Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached
-10 nT at 04/1506Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous
orbit reached a peak level of 723 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet to active levels on days one and three (05 May, 07 May)
and quiet to unsettled levels on day two (06 May).
III. Probabilidades del evento 05 May a 07 May
| Clase M | 30% | 30% | 30% |
| Clase X | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Protón | 05% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 04 May 138 Previsto 05 May-07 May 140/135/130 Media de 90 Días 04 May 128
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 03 May 008/008 Estimado Afr/Ap 04 May 007/007 Previsto Afr/Ap 05 May-07 May 014/016-007/009-013/014
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 05 May a 07 May
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 40% | 20% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 20% | 05% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 15% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 30% | 25% | 30% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 50% | 25% | 35% |
All times in UTC
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Hechos clima espacial
| Último evento clase X | 24/04/2026 | X2.5 |
| Último evento clase M | 17/05/2026 | M1.4 |
| Últimas tormentas geomagnéticas | 16/05/2026 | Kp6- (G2) |
| Días sin manchas | |
|---|---|
| Last 365 days | 3 días |
| 2026 | 3 días (2%) |
| Último día sin manchas | 24/02/2026 |
| Promedio de manchas solares mensuales | |
|---|---|
| abril 2026 | 79.3 -6.6 |
| mayo 2026 | 90.4 +11.1 |
| Last 30 days | 99.3 +8.3 |
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