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Informe actividad solar

Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2026 May 17 2200 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 137 Publicado el 2200Z a las 17 May 2026

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 16-2100Z hasta 17-2100Z

Solar activity has been at moderate levels for the past 24 hours. There are currently 7 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low with a chance for M-class flares on days one, two, and three (18 May, 19 May, 20 May).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 16-2100Z a 17-2100Z
The geomagnetic field has been at quiet to unsettled levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed reached a peak of 734 km/s at 16/2108Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 6117 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected to be at quiet to minor storm levels on days one and two (18 May, 19 May) and quiet levels on day three (20 May).
III. Probabilidades del evento 18 May a 20 May
Clase M40%45%45%
Clase X05%05%05%
Protón05%05%01%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       17 May 104
  Previsto   18 May-20 May 105/110/115
  Media de 90 Días        17 May 124

V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
  Observado Afr/Ap 16 May  019/034
  Estimado     Afr/Ap 17 May  011/013
  Previsto    Afr/Ap 18 May-20 May  015/021-018/021-007/008

VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 18 May a 20 May
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo40%35%20%
Tormenta Menor30%30%05%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa05%05%01%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo05%10%20%
Tormenta Menor25%25%30%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa60%60%25%

All times in UTC

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