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Informe actividad solar

Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2026 May 19 2200 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 139 Publicado el 2200Z a las 19 May 2026

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 18-2100Z hasta 19-2100Z

Solar activity has been at low levels for the past 24 hours. There are currently 5 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is likely to be low with a slight chance for an M-class flare on days one and two (20 May, 21 May) and expected to be low with a chance for M-class flares on day three (22 May).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 18-2100Z a 19-2100Z
The geomagnetic field has been at quiet to active levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed reached a peak of 655 km/s at 19/0854Z. Total IMF reached 7 nT at 19/1038Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -7 nT at 19/0733Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 3917 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected to be at quiet levels on days one and three (20 May, 22 May) and quiet to unsettled levels on day two (21 May).
III. Probabilidades del evento 20 May a 22 May
Clase M20%20%25%
Clase X05%05%05%
Protón05%05%05%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       19 May 106
  Previsto   20 May-22 May 110/110/108
  Media de 90 Días        19 May 124

V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
  Observado Afr/Ap 18 May  008/009
  Estimado     Afr/Ap 19 May  014/019
  Previsto    Afr/Ap 20 May-22 May  007/008-007/010-007/009

VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 20 May a 22 May
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo15%20%30%
Tormenta Menor01%05%05%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo20%20%20%
Tormenta Menor25%35%35%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa20%25%30%

All times in UTC

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