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Informe actividad solar

Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2026 Jun 03 2200 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 154 Publicado el 2200Z a las 03 Jun 2026

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 02-2100Z hasta 03-2100Z

Solar activity has been at high levels for the past 24 hours. There are currently 8 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is likely to be moderate with a slight chance for an X-class flare on days one, two, and three (04 Jun, 05 Jun, 06 Jun).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 02-2100Z a 03-2100Z
The geomagnetic field has been at quiet to unsettled levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed reached a peak of 457 km/s at 03/1047Z. Total IMF reached 11 nT at 03/2049Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -8 nT at 03/2046Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 745 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected to be at unsettled to severe storm levels on day one (04 Jun), active to severe storm levels on day two (05 Jun) and unsettled to active levels on day three (06 Jun). Protons have a slight chance of crossing threshold on days one, two, and three (04 Jun, 05 Jun, 06 Jun).
III. Probabilidades del evento 04 Jun a 06 Jun
Clase M60%60%60%
Clase X15%15%15%
Protón10%10%10%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       03 Jun 147
  Previsto   04 Jun-06 Jun 150/148/142
  Media de 90 Días        03 Jun 125

V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
  Observado Afr/Ap 02 Jun  007/007
  Estimado     Afr/Ap 03 Jun  010/012
  Previsto    Afr/Ap 04 Jun-06 Jun  028/045-039/062-017/020

VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 04 Jun a 06 Jun
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo25%25%35%
Tormenta Menor25%20%15%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa45%40%05%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo05%05%10%
Tormenta Menor15%20%30%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa79%75%60%

All times in UTC

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