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Informe actividad solar

Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2026 Jun 16 2200 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 167 Publicado el 2200Z a las 16 Jun 2026

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 15-2100Z hasta 16-2100Z

Solar activity has been at low levels for the past 24 hours. There are currently 5 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low with a slight chance for an M-class flare on days one, two, and three (17 Jun, 18 Jun, 19 Jun).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 15-2100Z a 16-2100Z
The geomagnetic field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed reached a peak of 487 km/s at 16/0317Z. Total IMF reached 8 nT at 16/1327Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -7 nT at 16/1347Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 2043 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected to be at quiet to active levels on days one and three (17 Jun, 19 Jun) and quiet to unsettled levels on day two (18 Jun).
III. Probabilidades del evento 17 Jun a 19 Jun
Clase M15%15%15%
Clase X01%01%01%
Protón01%01%01%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       16 Jun 113
  Previsto   17 Jun-19 Jun 113/115/115
  Media de 90 Días        16 Jun 126

V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
  Observado Afr/Ap 15 Jun  006/006
  Estimado     Afr/Ap 16 Jun  007/007
  Previsto    Afr/Ap 17 Jun-19 Jun  010/012-008/010-015/015

VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 17 Jun a 19 Jun
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo30%20%35%
Tormenta Menor15%05%20%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%05%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo15%15%10%
Tormenta Menor25%25%30%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa40%30%50%

All times in UTC

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