Vaata laupäev, 15 juuni 2002 arhiivi
Päikese aktiivsuse aruanne
Igale käesolevas aruandes mainitud päikesepurskele on kohaldatud Kosmose Ilmaennustuskeskuse (SWPC) skaalafaktor. SWPC skaleerimisteguri tõttu on päikesepursked esitatud 42% väiksemana kui samade teadusliku kvaliteediga andmete puhul. Meie arhiveeritud päikesepursete andmetest on skaleerimisstegur eemaldatud, et kajastada tegelikke füüsikalisi ühikuid.
Päikese ja geofüüsikalise aktiivsuse aruanne 2002 Jun 15 2200 UTC
Valminud NOAA © SWPC ja töödeldud SpaceWeatherLive.com-igaÜhine USAF / NOAA päikese- ja geofüüsikaalase aktiivsuse aruanne
SDF number 166 Välja antud 2200Z kuni 15 Jun 2002
IA. Päikese aktiivsete piirkondade ja päikeseaktiivsuse analüüs alates 14-2100Z kuni 15-2100Z
Solar activity has been low. The largest event was an
optically uncorrelated C1.7 flare at 15/0058 UTC. Lesser C- and
B-class flare activity occurred in Region 0000 (N18E36), Region 1
(N20E38), and newly numbered Region 3 (N00E63). Region 9997
(N12E31) was combined with former Region 9998 to produce a single
beta-class group of penless spots. Other regions that emerged on
the disk and were numbered today included Region 2 (S24W08) and
Region 4 (S16E10).
IB. Päikese aktiivsuse ennustus
Solar activity is expected to be
predominantly low. A small chance for an isolated moderate flare
exists for the period.
IIA. Summaarne geofüüsikaline aktiivsus 14-2100Z kuni 15-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was mainly quiet. One isolated unsettled
period was observed at higher latitudes near the end of the period.
IIB. Geofüüsikalise aktiivsuse ennustus
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be predominantly quiet for the next three days.
III. Sündmuste tõenäosus 16 Junkuni 18 Jun
| Klass M | 25% | 30% | 30% |
| Klass X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Prooton | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green
|
IV. Pikklaine 10.7 cm kiirgus
Vaadeldud 15 Jun 135
Prognoositud 16 Jun-18 Jun 140/145/145
90 päeva keskmine 15 Jun 178
V. Geomagneetiline A-indeks
Vaadeldud Afr/Ap 14 Jun 004/007
Hinnanguline Afr/Ap 15 Jun 003/006
Prognoositud Afr/Ap 16 Jun-18 Jun 008/008-005/008-005/008
VI. Geomagnetilised aktiivsuse tõenäosused 16 Jun kuni 18 Jun
| A. Keskmistel laiuskraadidel |
| Aktiivne | 15% | 10% | 10% |
| Väike torm | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Suur-tõsine torm | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Kõrgetel laiuskraadidel |
| Aktiivne | 20% | 15% | 15% |
| Väike torm | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Suur-tõsine torm | 01% | 01% | 01% |
PLAIN
This message is for users of the NOAA/SEC Space
Weather Operations sunspot region numbers. As you
may have noticed, we are steadily approaching
region number 10000. The plan for Space Weather
operations is to go through the sequence of Region
numbers as 9998, 9999, 0000, 0001, and so on. SEC's
product text discussions of the active regions
will ignore the leading zeroes (for example, we
will say 'Region number 5' rather than Region
number '0005'). However, the Geoalert product, the
Region Report product, as well as the USAF and IUWDS
data exchange codes will preserve the 4 digit format.
The necessity of using four digits is for operational
purposes only. For historical purposes all regions
beyond Region 9999 will be understood to be in a
series of regions numbers 10000 and higher.
Kõik ajad UTC-s
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