Vaata pühapäev, 16 juuni 2002 arhiivi
Päikese aktiivsuse aruanne
Igale käesolevas aruandes mainitud päikesepurskele on kohaldatud Kosmose Ilmaennustuskeskuse (SWPC) skaalafaktor. SWPC skaleerimisteguri tõttu on päikesepursked esitatud 42% väiksemana kui samade teadusliku kvaliteediga andmete puhul. Meie arhiveeritud päikesepursete andmetest on skaleerimisstegur eemaldatud, et kajastada tegelikke füüsikalisi ühikuid.
Päikese ja geofüüsikalise aktiivsuse aruanne 2002 Jun 16 2200 UTC
Valminud NOAA © SWPC ja töödeldud SpaceWeatherLive.com-igaÜhine USAF / NOAA päikese- ja geofüüsikaalase aktiivsuse aruanne
SDF number 167 Välja antud 2200Z kuni 16 Jun 2002
IA. Päikese aktiivsete piirkondade ja päikeseaktiivsuse analüüs alates 15-2100Z kuni 16-2100Z
Solar activity was low. The most notable event of the
period was a long duration C1.0 flare at 16/0814 UTC. There were no
optical reports associated with this event, but a CME was evident in
LASCO imagery just following the flare, from a presumed source
behind the northeast limb, near N35. Active prominences have been
visible in H-alpha imagery in this area for the past 24 hours.
Other activity included an optically uncorrelated C1.4 flare at
16/0332 UTC. B-class activity was observed in Region 9991 (S21W47)
and Region 3 (N00E49). New Region 5 (N13E74) rotated into view and
was numbered today.
IB. Päikese aktiivsuse ennustus
Solar activity is expected to remain
mostly low for the next three days.
IIA. Summaarne geofüüsikaline aktiivsus 15-2100Z kuni 16-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled.
IIB. Geofüüsikalise aktiivsuse ennustus
The geomagnetic field is
expected to persist at quiet to unsettled levels for the next three
days.
III. Sündmuste tõenäosus 17 Junkuni 19 Jun
| Klass M | 20% | 25% | 25% |
| Klass X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Prooton | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green
|
IV. Pikklaine 10.7 cm kiirgus
Vaadeldud 16 Jun 137
Prognoositud 17 Jun-19 Jun 140/145/145
90 päeva keskmine 16 Jun 178
V. Geomagneetiline A-indeks
Vaadeldud Afr/Ap 15 Jun 004/007
Hinnanguline Afr/Ap 16 Jun 008/010
Prognoositud Afr/Ap 17 Jun-19 Jun 005/008-005/008-005/008
VI. Geomagnetilised aktiivsuse tõenäosused 17 Jun kuni 19 Jun
| A. Keskmistel laiuskraadidel |
| Aktiivne | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Väike torm | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Suur-tõsine torm | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Kõrgetel laiuskraadidel |
| Aktiivne | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Väike torm | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Suur-tõsine torm | 01% | 01% | 01% |
PLAIN
This message is for users of the NOAA/SEC Space
Weather Operations sunspot region numbers. As you
may have noticed, we are steadily approaching
region number 10000. The plan for Space Weather
operations is to go through the sequence of Region
numbers as 9998, 9999, 0000, 0001, and so on. SEC's
product text discussions of the active regions
will ignore the leading zeroes (for example, we
will say 'Region number 5' rather than Region
number '0005'). However, the Geoalert product, the
Region Report product, as well as the USAF and IUWDS
data exchange codes will preserve the 4 digit format.
The necessity of using four digits is for operational
purposes only. For historical purposes all regions
beyond Region 9999 will be understood to be in a
series of regions numbers 10000 and higher.
Kõik ajad UTC-s
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