Publié: 2013 Aug 13 1225 UTC
Eruptive (C-class flares expected, probability >=50%)
Active conditions expected (A>=20 or K=4)
Quiet
| Flux de 10 cm | Ap | |
|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug 2013 | 120 | 011 |
| 14 Aug 2013 | 124 | 017 |
| 15 Aug 2013 | 128 | 018 |
Solar activity is expected to be eruptive with C class flares likely from NOAA ARs 1817 and 1818. There remains a small risk for an isolated M class flare to occur in one of these two regions. A CME was associated with the M1.5 flare of Aug. 13, but coronagraphic data suggest that the bulk of the CME is essentially going southward, and that it will miss the Earth. We expect mostly quiet geomagnetic conditions for the next 24 hours, and then unsettled to active conditions by the end of Aug. 14, due to a coronal hole becoming geoeffective.
Estimation du nombre international de taches solaires (ISN) pour aujourd'hui : 077, sur la base de 13 stations.
| Nombre de Wolf, observé par Catania | /// |
| Flux solaire à 10 cm | 114 |
| AK Chambon La Forêt | 010 |
| AK Wingst | 006 |
| Ap estimé | 006 |
| Nombre international de taches solaires estimé | 060 - Basé sur 17 stations |
| Jour | Commencer | Max | Fin | Loc | Force | OP | 10cm | Catania/NOAA | Types de sursaut radio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aucun | ||||||||||
Données fournies par le Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Traité par SpaceWeatherLive
Toutes les heures sont indiquées en UTC
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