Publié: 2014 Sep 30 1222 UTC
Active (M-class flares expected, probability >=50%)
Quiet (A<20 and K<4)
Warning condition (activity levels expected to increase, but no numeric forecast given)
| Flux de 10 cm | Ap | |
|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep 2014 | 177 | 011 |
| 01 Oct 2014 | 179 | 007 |
| 02 Oct 2014 | 175 | 010 |
There are currently 10 sunspot groups on the solar disk, with two active regions approaching the east limb. However, only NOAA 2173 is producing low-level C-class flaring, the strongest being a C3.3 flare peaking at 21:32UT. NOAA 2175 and NOAA 2177 have some mixed magnetic polarities, but have remained quiet. No Earth-directed CMEs have been observed. The x-ray background flux is already 5 consecutive days above the C1-level. Two 20-degrees long filaments visible in the western solar hemisphere have remained quiet. C-class flaring is expected, with a reasonable chance on an isolated M-class flare. Solar wind speed varied mostly between 340 and 380 km/s, with Bz fluctuating between -7 and +5 nT. Quiet to unsettled geomagnetic conditions were observed, with Kp having some active periods. Geomagnetic conditions are expected to be quiet to unsettled, with locally an active period possible.
Estimation du nombre international de taches solaires (ISN) pour aujourd'hui : 127, sur la base de 22 stations.
| Nombre de Wolf, observé par Catania | /// |
| Flux solaire à 10 cm | 175 |
| AK Chambon La Forêt | 022 |
| AK Wingst | 013 |
| Ap estimé | 013 |
| Nombre international de taches solaires estimé | 126 - Basé sur 21 stations |
| Jour | Commencer | Max | Fin | Loc | Force | OP | 10cm | Catania/NOAA | Types de sursaut radio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aucun | ||||||||||
Données fournies par le Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Traité par SpaceWeatherLive
Toutes les heures sont indiquées en UTC
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| Dernière classe X | 08/12/2025 | X1.1 |
| Dernière classe M | 31/12/2025 | M7.11 |
| Dernier orage géomagnétique | 22/12/2025 | Kp5 (G1) |
| Jours sans taches solaires | |
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