Publié: 2018 Feb 27 1234 UTC
Quiet conditions (<50% probability of C-class flares)
Active conditions expected (A>=20 or K=4)
Quiet
| Flux de 10 cm | Ap | |
|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb 2018 | 071 | 021 |
| 28 Feb 2018 | 072 | 011 |
| 01 Mar 2018 | 071 | 006 |
Catania sunspot group 73 (NOAA AR 2700) is the only numbered sunspot group observed on the visible side of the solar disc. This sunspot group was the source of two weak B-class flares reported during last 24 hours. We expect occasional B-class flares in the coming hours, with the low possibility for isolated C-class flare. During last 24 hours there were no Earth directed CMEs reported, and the solar protons remained at background level.
As expected, the solar wind speed is slowly increasing and its present value is about 510 km/s, the interplanetary magnetic field (IMF) magnitude is also slightly elevated amounting about 10 nT. These increase of the solar wind speed and the magnitude of the IMF is due to arrival of the fast flow associated with the equatorial coronal hole (possibly connected to the southern polar coronal hole) which reached central meridian in the late evening of February 22. The fast solar wind and the longer interval of the negative value of the Bz component of the IMF (down to -9 nT) induced active geomagnetic conditions early this morning (NOAA reported Kp=5 and local station at Dourbes reported K=4). The geomagnetic conditions are presently unsettled to active and we expect such a geomagnetic conditions to continue in the coming hours.
Estimation du nombre international de taches solaires (ISN) pour aujourd'hui : 017, sur la base de 21 stations.
| Nombre de Wolf, observé par Catania | 016 |
| Flux solaire à 10 cm | 070 |
| AK Chambon La Forêt | 023 |
| AK Wingst | 011 |
| Ap estimé | 009 |
| Nombre international de taches solaires estimé | 018 - Basé sur 28 stations |
| Jour | Commencer | Max | Fin | Loc | Force | OP | 10cm | Catania/NOAA | Types de sursaut radio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aucun | ||||||||||
Données fournies par le Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Traité par SpaceWeatherLive
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