Affichage des archives de lundi, 26 mars 2018

Bulletin quotidien sur l'activité solaire et géomagnétique du SIDC

Publié: 2018 Mar 26 1230 UTC

Prévisions SIDC

Éruptions solaires

Quiet conditions (<50% probability of C-class flares)

Géomagnétisme

Active conditions expected (A>=20 or K=4)

Moniteur de Flux de Proton

Quiet

	Flux de 10 cm	Ap
26 Mar 2018	068	014
27 Mar 2018	068	010
28 Mar 2018	068	011

Bulletin

There are no sunspot regions on the visible hemisphere of the Sun and flaring level is very low. The chance for a C flare in the next 24 hours is estimated at 3%.

No Earth-directed Coronal Mass Ejections (CMEs) were observed in available coronagraphic imagery.

The greater than 10 MeV proton flux was at nominal levels in the past 24 hours, and is expected to stay at nominal levels in the next 24 hours.

Solar wind near Earth was enhanced due to the influence of a negative polarity coronal hole (CH) wind stream. Solar wind speed measured by DSCOVR gradually increased from about 450 to 500 km/s until it suddenly increased to about 540 km/s at 7:12 UT on March 26. Current values lie around 520 km/s. The Interplanetary Magnetic Field (IMF) was directed towards the Sun and its magnitude varied between about 1 and 8 nT. Bz was never below -5.5 nT. A returning, positive polarity, north polar CH is currently at the Central Meridian and may cause enhanced solar wind conditions on March 29, 30 and 31.

Quiet to active geomagnetic conditions (K Dourbes between 2 and 4; NOAA Kp between 2 and 4) were registered in the past 24 hours. Quiet to active levels (K Dourbes < 5) are expected on March 26, 27 and 28 in response to the continuing CH wind stream, with a slight chance for minor storm intervals (K Dourbes = 5).

Estimation du nombre international de taches solaires (ISN) pour aujourd'hui : 000, sur la base de 24 stations.

Indices solaires pour 25 Mar 2018

Nombre de Wolf, observé par Catania	///
Flux solaire à 10 cm	068
AK Chambon La Forêt	029
AK Wingst	018
Ap estimé	020
Nombre international de taches solaires estimé	000 - Basé sur 31 stations

Résumé des événements marquants

Données fournies par le Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Traité par SpaceWeatherLive

Toutes les heures sont indiquées en UTC

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