Affichage des archives de samedi, 16 mars 2024

Bulletin quotidien sur l'activité solaire et géomagnétique du SIDC

Publié: 2024 Mar 16 1232 UTC

Prévisions SIDC

Éruptions solaires

C-class flares expected, (probability >=50%)

Géomagnétisme

Quiet (A<20 and K<4)

Moniteur de Flux de Proton

Proton event expected (10 pfu at >10 MeV)

Flux de 10 cmAp
16 Mar 2024129007
17 Mar 2024129007
18 Mar 2024129007

Régions solaires actives et éruptions solaires

There are four active regions visible on the solar disk. They all have simple beta or alpha magnetic field configuration. Flaring activity has decreased significantly since NOAA AR 3599 rotated out of view over the west limb yesterday. The strongest flare was a C1.8 from NOAA AR 3599, peaking at 12:09 UTC on 15 March. Minor C-class flaring can be expected for the next 24 hours.

Éjection de masse coronale

No Earth-directed CMEs were detected in the available coronagraph observations in the last 24 hours.

Vent solaire

The Earth is inside slow solar wind, with speeds close to 400 km/s and an interplanetary magnetic field around 5 nT. Similar conditions are expected for the next 24 hours.

Géomagnétisme

Geomagnetic conditions were quiet both global and locally (NOAA_Kp up to 2 and K_BEL up to 2). Similar conditions can be expected for the next 24 hours.

Niveaux de flux de protons

The 10 MeV proton flux (measured by GOES-18) has raised above the 10 pfu threshold. The increase in proton flux started shortly after the eruption of the partial halo CME from 02:10 UTC on 15 March (LASCO C2), originating from NOAA AR 3599 slightly behind the west limb. These particles are accelerated by the CME driven shock and increased steadily at the Earth's location; they crossed the 10 pfu threshold close to 23:00 UTC on 15 March. The 10 MeV proton flux is expected to remain elevated during the next 24 hours.

Flux d'électrons sur l'orbite géostationnaire

The greater than 2 MeV electron flux from GOES 16 was below the threshold level in the last 24 hours. It is expected to remain below the threshold during the next 24 hours. The 24h electron fluence was at normal level and is expected to remain so.

Estimation du nombre international de taches solaires (ISN) pour aujourd'hui : 055, sur la base de 07 stations.

Indices solaires pour 15 Mar 2024

Nombre de Wolf, observé par Catania052
Flux solaire à 10 cm129
AK Chambon La Forêt007
AK Wingst008
Ap estimé008
Nombre international de taches solaires estimé051 - Basé sur 21 stations

Résumé des événements marquants

JourCommencerMaxFinLocForceOP10cmCatania/NOAATypes de sursaut radio
Aucun

Données fournies par le Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Traité par SpaceWeatherLive

Toutes les heures sont indiquées en UTC

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