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Bulletin quotidien sur l'activité solaire et géomagnétique du SIDC

Publié: 2024 Apr 05 1240 UTC

Prévisions SIDC

Éruptions solaires

C-class flares expected, (probability >=50%)

Géomagnétisme

Active conditions expected (A>=20 or K=4)

Moniteur de Flux de Proton

Quiet

	Flux de 10 cm	Ap
05 Apr 2024	115	021
06 Apr 2024	116	017
07 Apr 2024	117	010

Régions solaires actives et éruptions solaires

The solar flaring activity was low over the past 24 hours. The large flare was a C3.8 observed on the east limb, from a region that is about to rotate to the front disc side. Few sunspots groups are visible on the disc. However they remain quiet. The solar flaring activity is expected to be at low levels over the next 24 hours, with possible C-class flares from this new region.

Éjection de masse coronale

No Earth directed Coronal Mass Ejections (CMEs) have been detected in the available coronagraph imagery.

Vent solaire

The solar wind conditions are under the influence of the high- speed stream from the negative polarity equatorial coronal hole (that crossed the central meridian on April 01). The interplanetary magnetic field phi turned in the negative sector (directed towards the Sun). The solar wind speed ranging between 405 km/s and 558 km/s. The total interplanetary magnetic field reached values around 10 nT and the Bz component reached values up to -7.7 nT. The solar wind conditions are expected to be enhanced on April 05 and then to return to slow solar wind speed.

Géomagnétisme

Geomagnetic conditions were unsettled to active (NOAA Kp 2-4 and Local K Bel 2-4) in response of the high-speed stream from the negative polarity equatorial coronal hole (that crossed the central meridian on April 01). Geomagnetic conditions are expected to be at unsettled with possible active conditions on April 05.

Niveaux de flux de protons

Over the past 24 hours, the greater than 10 MeV GOES proton flux was below the 10 pfu threshold and is expected to remain below this threshold for the next 24 hours.

Flux d'électrons sur l'orbite géostationnaire

The greater than 2 MeV electron flux remained below the 1000 pfu threshold as measured by GOES 16. It is expected to remain below this threshold over the next days. The 24-hour electron fluence was at nominal levels. The electron fluence is expected to be at nominal levels over the next day.

Estimation du nombre international de taches solaires (ISN) pour aujourd'hui : 083, sur la base de 10 stations.

Indices solaires pour 04 Apr 2024

Nombre de Wolf, observé par Catania	049
Flux solaire à 10 cm	114
AK Chambon La Forêt	023
AK Wingst	014
Ap estimé	014
Nombre international de taches solaires estimé	048 - Basé sur 22 stations

Résumé des événements marquants

Données fournies par le Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Traité par SpaceWeatherLive

Toutes les heures sont indiquées en UTC

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