Emesso: 2013 Feb 04 1228 UTC
Quiet conditions (<50% probability of C-class flares)
Active conditions expected (A>=20 or K=4)
Quiet
| 10cm flux | Ap | |
|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb 2013 | 114 | 005 |
| 05 Feb 2013 | 115 | 012 |
| 06 Feb 2013 | 115 | 013 |
Four C-class flares were detected during the past 24 hours, and the strongest one was C8.4 flare peaking at 06:10 UT, on February 3. The C-class flares are possible, in particular from the Catania sunspot group 79 (NOAA AR 1667). The interplanetary magnetic field magnitude is about 5 nT. The Earth is currently under the influence of a slow solar wind with the speed of 350 km/s. The low-latitude coronal hole in the northern hemisphere has passed the central meridian and we expect arrival of the fast solar wind late on February 5. We expect quiet to possibly active geomagnetic conditions in the next 48 hours.
Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 022, based on 07 stations.
| Wolf number Catania | /// |
| 10cm solar flux | 111 |
| AK Chambon La Forêt | 008 |
| AK Wingst | 006 |
| Estimated Ap | 005 |
| Estimated international sunspot number | 053 - Based on 15 stations |
| Day | Begin | Max | Fine | Loc | Strength | OP | 10cm | Radio burst types | Catania/NOAA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nessuna | ||||||||||
Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive
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