Emesso: 2013 Nov 16 1449 UTC
Active (M-class flares expected, probability >=50%)
Quiet (A<20 and K<4)
Quiet
| 10cm flux | Ap | |
|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov 2013 | 178 | 015 |
| 17 Nov 2013 | 177 | 011 |
| 18 Nov 2013 | 176 | 008 |
The strongest of two M-class flares observed during last 24 hours was M1.4 flare (peaked at 07:49 UT today) from the Catania sunspot group 41 (NOAA AR 1900). We expect C-class flares and M-class flares, in particular from Catania sunspot groups 45, 41 and 38 (NOAA ARs 1897, 1900 and 1893, respectively). The X-class flares are possible but not very probable. Earth is currently inside of a fast flow with a speed of about 550 km/s. The fast flow is associated with the low-latitude coronal hole in the northern hemisphere. The interplanetary magnetic field magnitude is about 10 nT. The geomagnetic conditions are quiet and expected to remain so during the following hours.
Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 130, based on 09 stations.
| Wolf number Catania | 165 |
| 10cm solar flux | 178 |
| AK Chambon La Forêt | 020 |
| AK Wingst | 015 |
| Estimated Ap | 013 |
| Estimated international sunspot number | 113 - Based on 12 stations |
| Day | Begin | Max | Fine | Loc | Strength | OP | 10cm | Catania/NOAA | Radio burst types |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | 0447 | 0453 | 0457 | ---- | M1.2 | 41/1900 | III/1 | ||
| 16 | 0745 | 0749 | 0753 | S19W29 | M1.6 | 1F | 41/1900 | CTM/1III/1 |
Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive
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