Emesso: 2013 Dec 05 1303 UTC
Eruptive (C-class flares expected, probability >=50%)
Quiet (A<20 and K<4)
Quiet
| 10cm flux | Ap | |
|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec 2013 | 142 | 007 |
| 06 Dec 2013 | 145 | 007 |
| 07 Dec 2013 | 145 | 010 |
NOAA AR 1913 which is ready to rotate behind the west limb released yesterday December 4 a C-flare. It is still active but its influence will fade away as soon as its coronal loops disappear behind the limb. NOAA AR 1916 released today, December 5 already a C-flare. A new region at the east limb flared also in the C-level. We expect the C-flaring activity to continue with a probability of 80%, we estimate the chances for an M-flare to be 30%, the chances for an X-flare are small. Earth is in a slow solar wind: around 350 km/s. The magnetic field strength is around 5 nT. The geomagnetic conditions are quiet and are expected to stay so. The coronal hole located just above the solar equator can become geoeffective from December 7. Unsettled to active geomagnetic conditions (K<=4) are possible.
Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 071, based on 08 stations.
| Wolf number Catania | /// |
| 10cm solar flux | 138 |
| AK Chambon La Forêt | 006 |
| AK Wingst | 005 |
| Estimated Ap | 004 |
| Estimated international sunspot number | 086 - Based on 12 stations |
| Day | Begin | Max | Fine | Loc | Strength | OP | 10cm | Catania/NOAA | Radio burst types | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nessuna | ||||||||||
Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive
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