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Daily bulletin on solar and geomagnetic activity from the SIDC

Emesso: 2013 Dec 05 1303 UTC

SIDC Forecast

Valid from 1230 UTC, 05 Dec 2013 until 07 Dec 2013
Brillamenti solari

Eruptive (C-class flares expected, probability >=50%)

Geomagnetism

Quiet (A<20 and K<4)

Protoni solari

Quiet

10cm fluxAp
05 Dec 2013142007
06 Dec 2013145007
07 Dec 2013145010

Bulletin

NOAA AR 1913 which is ready to rotate behind the west limb released yesterday December 4 a C-flare. It is still active but its influence will fade away as soon as its coronal loops disappear behind the limb. NOAA AR 1916 released today, December 5 already a C-flare. A new region at the east limb flared also in the C-level. We expect the C-flaring activity to continue with a probability of 80%, we estimate the chances for an M-flare to be 30%, the chances for an X-flare are small. Earth is in a slow solar wind: around 350 km/s. The magnetic field strength is around 5 nT. The geomagnetic conditions are quiet and are expected to stay so. The coronal hole located just above the solar equator can become geoeffective from December 7. Unsettled to active geomagnetic conditions (K<=4) are possible.

Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 071, based on 08 stations.

Solar indices for 04 Dec 2013

Wolf number Catania///
10cm solar flux138
AK Chambon La Forêt006
AK Wingst005
Estimated Ap004
Estimated international sunspot number086 - Based on 12 stations

Noticeable events summary

DayBeginMaxFineLocStrengthOP10cmCatania/NOAARadio burst types
Nessuna

Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive

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Notizie sul meteo spaziale

Ultimo brillamento X2025/12/08X1.1
Ultimo brillamento M2025/12/21M1.3
Ultima tempesta geomagnetica2025/12/21Kp5 (G1)
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