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Daily bulletin on solar and geomagnetic activity from the SIDC

Emesso: 2014 Mar 12 1232 UTC

SIDC Forecast

Valid from 1230 UTC, 12 Mar 2014 until 14 Mar 2014
Brillamenti solari

Active (M-class flares expected, probability >=50%)

Geomagnetism

Quiet (A<20 and K<4)

Protoni solari

Quiet

10cm fluxAp
12 Mar 2014160006
13 Mar 2014160007
14 Mar 2014160007

Bulletin

There were five C flares and one M flare on the Sun during the past 24 hours, released by NOAA AR 12002 and 11996. The M2.6 flare was produced by NOAA AR 11996 and peaked at 11:05 UT on March 12. In the next 48 hours, the probability for C flares is very high (above 90%) and for M flares around 60%, mainly from NOAA AR 12002 and 11996. There is a slight chance (25%) for an X flare. In the past 24 hours, solar wind speed as observed by ACE varied between about 270 and 330 km/s, while the magnitude of the Interplanetary Magnetic Field (IMF) varied between 4 and 6. In the past 24 hours, geomagnetic conditions were quiet (K Dourbes between 0 and 2; NOAA Kp between 1 and 2). Quiet geomagnetic levels are expected on March 12, 13, and 14.

Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 092, based on 15 stations.

Solar indices for 11 Mar 2014

Wolf number Catania116
10cm solar flux165
AK Chambon La Forêt008
AK Wingst003
Estimated Ap003
Estimated international sunspot number081 - Based on 23 stations

Noticeable events summary

DayBeginMaxFineLocStrengthOP10cmCatania/NOAARadio burst types
11115812071214----M1.7--/1991
12105511051111----M2.564/1996

Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive

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Notizie sul meteo spaziale

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