Emesso: 2014 Mar 12 1232 UTC
Active (M-class flares expected, probability >=50%)
Quiet (A<20 and K<4)
Quiet
| 10cm flux | Ap | |
|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar 2014 | 160 | 006 |
| 13 Mar 2014 | 160 | 007 |
| 14 Mar 2014 | 160 | 007 |
There were five C flares and one M flare on the Sun during the past 24 hours, released by NOAA AR 12002 and 11996. The M2.6 flare was produced by NOAA AR 11996 and peaked at 11:05 UT on March 12. In the next 48 hours, the probability for C flares is very high (above 90%) and for M flares around 60%, mainly from NOAA AR 12002 and 11996. There is a slight chance (25%) for an X flare. In the past 24 hours, solar wind speed as observed by ACE varied between about 270 and 330 km/s, while the magnitude of the Interplanetary Magnetic Field (IMF) varied between 4 and 6. In the past 24 hours, geomagnetic conditions were quiet (K Dourbes between 0 and 2; NOAA Kp between 1 and 2). Quiet geomagnetic levels are expected on March 12, 13, and 14.
Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 092, based on 15 stations.
| Wolf number Catania | 116 |
| 10cm solar flux | 165 |
| AK Chambon La Forêt | 008 |
| AK Wingst | 003 |
| Estimated Ap | 003 |
| Estimated international sunspot number | 081 - Based on 23 stations |
| Day | Begin | Max | Fine | Loc | Strength | OP | 10cm | Catania/NOAA | Radio burst types |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 1158 | 1207 | 1214 | ---- | M1.7 | --/1991 | |||
| 12 | 1055 | 1105 | 1111 | ---- | M2.5 | 64/1996 |
Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive
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