Emesso: 2014 Mar 27 1230 UTC
Eruptive (C-class flares expected, probability >=50%)
Quiet (A<20 and K<4)
Warning condition (activity levels expected to increase, but no numeric forecast given)
| 10cm flux | Ap | |
|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar 2014 | 153 | 007 |
| 28 Mar 2014 | 150 | 007 |
| 29 Mar 2014 | 145 | 007 |
Only C-1 class flares were observed since our last bulletin, originating in NOAA AR 12010 and 12015. The latter region reduced to a beta configuration and it is turning over the west limb. More C-class flares can be expected from NOAA regions 12010 and 12014, with a small chance for an M-flare. The warning conditions for proton events is maintained as the most prominent active regions are currently in the western hemisphere. The effects of the CME observed on March 23 are subsiding. Geomagnetic conditions were quiet (K and Kp <= 2) in the past 24h and are expected to remain so.
Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 082, based on 14 stations.
| Wolf number Catania | 121 |
| 10cm solar flux | 153 |
| AK Chambon La Forêt | 011 |
| AK Wingst | 012 |
| Estimated Ap | 010 |
| Estimated international sunspot number | 077 - Based on 18 stations |
| Day | Begin | Max | Fine | Loc | Strength | OP | 10cm | Catania/NOAA | Radio burst types | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nessuna | ||||||||||
Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive
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